DLR-Logo -> http://www.dlr.de
DLR Portal Home | Imprint | Privacy Policy | Contact | Deutsch
Fontsize: [-] Text [+]

Quantitative analysis of future scenarios of urban mobility using agent-based simulation - A case study

Neumann, Thorsten and Heinrichs, Matthias and Behrisch, Michael and Erdmann, Jakob and Sauerländer-Biebl, Anke (2019) Quantitative analysis of future scenarios of urban mobility using agent-based simulation - A case study. Transportation Research Procedia, 41, pp. 295-308. Elsevier. doi: 10.1016/j.trpro.2019.09.050. ISSN 2352-1457.

[img] PDF - Published version

Official URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352146519304661


Urban mobility is changing and needs to change in order to meet future social requirements in terms of efficient and comfortable transport as well as reduced air pollution and noise. Moreover, climate change leads to an urgent need of reducing the CO2 emissions of transport in general. In this context, electric mobility and car sharing are just two current trends promoting a new way of individual transport that is clean and efficient at the same time. Facilitating public and intermodal transport by suitable measures is another option that is often discussed. The research project "VEU - Verkehrsentwicklung und Umwelt" (Transport and the environment) tried to analyze how traffic and its environmental impact evolve until the year 2040 depending on the general priorities of political and societal decisions in the meantime. For this purpose, three detailed mostly national scenarios describing different possible framework conditions for future transport were developed in a complex process. While one of them (called "Regulated shift 2040") is explicitly focusing on ecological friendliness and sustainability, a second one is more dedicated to an economic-liberal approach (called "Free play 2040"). Finally, the third scenario (called "Reference 2040") can be seen as an attempt of balancing out the contrary interests that are associated with the aforementioned scenarios. The present contribution discusses the more local effects of these scenarios with regard to traffic in urban areas such as the German capital Berlin which was considered for this case study.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/121278/
Document Type:Article
Title:Quantitative analysis of future scenarios of urban mobility using agent-based simulation - A case study
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iD
Neumann, ThorstenUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9236-0585
Heinrichs, MatthiasUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0175-2787
Behrisch, MichaelUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0032-7930
Erdmann, JakobUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-4195-4535
Sauerländer-Biebl, AnkeUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-7870-0750
Date:November 2019
Journal or Publication Title:Transportation Research Procedia
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:No
In ISI Web of Science:No
Page Range:pp. 295-308
Keywords:Traffic development, Urban traffic, Environment, CO2, Microscopic modelling, Simulation
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Transport
HGF - Program Themes:Transport System
DLR - Research area:Transport
DLR - Program:V VS - Verkehrssystem
DLR - Research theme (Project):V - Verkehrsentwicklung und Umwelt II (old)
Location: Berlin-Adlershof
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Transportation Systems > Data Management and Knowledge Discovery
Institute of Transport Research > Mobility and Urban Development
Institute of Transportation Systems > Evaluation of Transportation
Institute of Transportation Systems > Development of system functions
Deposited By: Neumann, Dr.-Ing. Thorsten
Deposited On:02 Dec 2019 13:04
Last Modified:28 Mar 2023 23:51

Repository Staff Only: item control page

Help & Contact
electronic library is running on EPrints 3.3.12
Website and database design: Copyright © German Aerospace Center (DLR). All rights reserved.