elib
DLR-Header
DLR-Logo -> http://www.dlr.de
DLR Portal Home | Imprint | Privacy Policy | Contact | Deutsch
Fontsize: [-] Text [+]

Integration of Prediction Uncertainty into a Human Operator Planning Model Realized with Coloured Petri Nets

Hasselberg, Andreas and Söffker, Dirk (2014) Integration of Prediction Uncertainty into a Human Operator Planning Model Realized with Coloured Petri Nets. 3. Interdisziplinärer Workshop Kognitive Systeme: Mensch, Teams, Systeme und Automaten, 25. - 27. März 2014, Magdeburg.

[img] PDF
462kB

Abstract

This contribution integrates uncertainty in human performance models based on Coloured Petri Nets to predict human performance more realistically. As decisions often have to be made under uncertainty and existing models of human cognitive performance use if-then rules, the arising questions are about the combination of uncertainty with these rules. Uncertainty is present, if the environment is not exactly known or cannot be predicted precisely. As discrete uncertainty can be well integrated into Petri Nets, but continuous uncertainty is at least of equal importance, this contribution extends Coloured Petri Nets to represent continuous uncertainty as well which was not realized before. First, a probability distribution is selected and subsequently implemented in Coloured Petri Nets. Finally, the integration into an application example is shown. An experiment demonstrated that a planning model including prediction uncertainty is able to describe the performance of human operators during interaction scenarios more realistically.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/91870/
Document Type:Conference or Workshop Item (Speech)
Title:Integration of Prediction Uncertainty into a Human Operator Planning Model Realized with Coloured Petri Nets
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthors ORCID iD
Hasselberg, AndreasAndreas.Hasselberg (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Söffker, DirkUniversität Duisburg-EssenUNSPECIFIED
Date:March 2014
Refereed publication:No
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:No
In SCOPUS:No
In ISI Web of Science:No
Status:Published
Keywords:Human factors, state-space, petri-net, uncertainty
Event Title:3. Interdisziplinärer Workshop Kognitive Systeme: Mensch, Teams, Systeme und Automaten
Event Location:Magdeburg
Event Type:national Conference
Event Dates:25. - 27. März 2014
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Aeronautics
HGF - Program Themes:air traffic management and operations
DLR - Research area:Aeronautics
DLR - Program:L AO - Air Traffic Management and Operation
DLR - Research theme (Project):L - Human factors and safety in Aeronautics
Location: Braunschweig
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Flight Control > Systemergonomy
Deposited By: Hasselberg, Andreas
Deposited On:10 Dec 2014 16:17
Last Modified:31 Jul 2019 19:49

Repository Staff Only: item control page

Browse
Search
Help & Contact
Information
electronic library is running on EPrints 3.3.12
Copyright © 2008-2017 German Aerospace Center (DLR). All rights reserved.