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Robustness Consideration in Multi-Criteria Decision Making to an Aircraft Selection Problem

Sun, Xiaoqian and Volker, Gollnick and Stumpf, Eike (2011) Robustness Consideration in Multi-Criteria Decision Making to an Aircraft Selection Problem. Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis. Wiley. doi: 10.1002/mcda.471. ISSN 1057-9214.

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In aircraft concept selection, uncertainties, resulting from economic noise variables such as fuel price, load factor, so on always exist in the decision making process. These uncertainties are often addressed using Taguchi loss functions for robustness analysis. The study presented in this paper is to utilize multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) methods to solve an aircraft concept selection problem for a hypothetical airline when considering the robustness of the decision. Three MCDM methods were used to conduct the concept selection, including ELimination and Choice Expressing REality, simple additive weighting and technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution. In this study, robustness is introduced as an additional decision criterion in the aircraft selection process. The impact with and without robustness consideration is compared in order to demonstrate how the proposed method makes trade-offs between nominal performance and address uncertainty in the decision-making process. In addition, sensitivity analysis is performed to investigate the influence of the decision criteria, especially robustness, on the final ranking of alternatives. The implementation of three MCDM methods on the aircraft selection problem also demonstrates the potential application of MCDM methods in the assessment of air transportation systems, while balancing economical, ecological, and technical constraints.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/75882/
Document Type:Article
Title:Robustness Consideration in Multi-Criteria Decision Making to an Aircraft Selection Problem
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iD
Sun, XiaoqianAir Transportation Systems, DLRUNSPECIFIED
Volker, GollnickAir Transportation Systems, DLRUNSPECIFIED
Stumpf, EikeAir Transportation Systems, DLRUNSPECIFIED
Journal or Publication Title:Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:No
Gold Open Access:No
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
DOI :10.1002/mcda.471
EditorsEmailEditor's ORCID iD
Stewart, TheodorTheodor.Stewart@uct.ac.zaUNSPECIFIED
Keywords:multi-criteria decision making (MCDM); robustness; uncertainty; aircraft selection
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:other
HGF - Program Themes:other
DLR - Research area:Aeronautics
DLR - Program:L - no assignment
DLR - Research theme (Project):L - no assignment (old)
Location: Hamburg
Institutes and Institutions:Air Transport Operations > System Analysis Air Transport
Deposited By: Sun, Xiaoqian
Deposited On:05 Jun 2012 08:43
Last Modified:19 Nov 2021 20:25

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