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Frey, Ulrich and Sperber, Evelyn and El-ghazi, Achraf and Miorelli, Fabia and Schimeczek, Christoph and Stumpf, Stefanie and Kaya, Anil and Rebenack, Steffen (2024) Capturing uncertainties of household decision making with machine learning in an agent-based model. ABM4Energy: Agent-Based Modeling for Energy Economics and Energy Policy, 2024-03-21 - 2024-03-22, Freiburg.
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Abstract
Precise modelling of uncertainties in energy system analysis is central for future energy systems. However, it is difficult to bring individual decisions to the system level. We combine the agent-based model AMIRIS (Schimeczek et al. 2023) with a stochastic optimisation and a diffusion model for three flexibility providing technologies, namely PV and storage, heat pumps (Sperber et al. 2020) and electromobility (Wulff et al. 2021). These three micro-models are aggregated with machine learning (ML) to fit the system level.
| Item URL in elib: | https://elib.dlr.de/202377/ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Document Type: | Conference or Workshop Item (Speech) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Title: | Capturing uncertainties of household decision making with machine learning in an agent-based model | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Authors: |
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| Date: | 2024 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Refereed publication: | No | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Open Access: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gold Open Access: | No | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| In SCOPUS: | No | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| In ISI Web of Science: | No | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Status: | Accepted | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Keywords: | agent-based modelling, uncertainty, stochastic optimisation model, diffusion model | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Event Title: | ABM4Energy: Agent-Based Modeling for Energy Economics and Energy Policy | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Event Location: | Freiburg | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Event Type: | international Conference | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Event Start Date: | 21 March 2024 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Event End Date: | 22 March 2024 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Research field: | Energy | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Program: | Energy System Design | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Program Themes: | Energy System Transformation | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Research area: | Energy | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Program: | E SY - Energy System Technology and Analysis | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Research theme (Project): | E - Systems Analysis and Technology Assessment | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Location: | Stuttgart | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Institutes and Institutions: | Institute of Networked Energy Systems > Energy Systems Analysis, ST | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Deposited By: | Frey, Ulrich | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Deposited On: | 30 Jan 2024 09:56 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Modified: | 28 Oct 2024 09:41 |
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