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Seibert, Dennis and Mocanu, Tudor and Österle, Ines and Matteis, Tilman and Koller, Florian (2023) Decarbonizing the German transport sector: Why the 2030 sector targets are likely to be missed. In: 2022 Conference Proceedings Transport Research Arena, TRA Lisbon 2022, 72, pp. 2784-2791. Elsevier B.V.. Transport Research Arena (TRA) Conference, 2022-11-14 - 2022-11-17, Lissabon, Portugal. doi: 10.1016/j.trpro.2023.11.821. ISSN 2352-1457.
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Abstract
In order to meet its 2030 climate sector target, the German transport sector must experience a trend reversal and reduce its greenhouse gas emissions drastically. Envisioned technological solutions vary between different modes of transport and technological readiness. By making use of an integrated model chain we examine possible short-run emission reductions for different technology pathways. Through fleet and transport demand modeling we provide final energy demand and CO2 emissions of the sector at five-year intervals. Modeling results show short-run emission reductions mainly in passenger car traffic. However, all technology pathways overshoot the 2030 sector target considerably. Consequently, ambitious measures that induce an avoidance and shifting of trips must complement the rapid ramp up of electric powertrains to meet the sector target.
| Item URL in elib: | https://elib.dlr.de/201787/ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Document Type: | Conference or Workshop Item (Speech) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Title: | Decarbonizing the German transport sector: Why the 2030 sector targets are likely to be missed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Authors: |
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| Date: | 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | 2022 Conference Proceedings Transport Research Arena, TRA Lisbon 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Refereed publication: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Open Access: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gold Open Access: | No | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| In SCOPUS: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| In ISI Web of Science: | No | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Volume: | 72 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.trpro.2023.11.821 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Page Range: | pp. 2784-2791 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Publisher: | Elsevier B.V. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Series Name: | Transportation Research Procedia | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ISSN: | 2352-1457 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Status: | Published | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Keywords: | Decarbonizing the transport sector German 2030 sector target CO2 emissions zero emission powertrains | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Event Title: | Transport Research Arena (TRA) Conference | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Event Location: | Lissabon, Portugal | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Event Type: | international Conference | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Event Start Date: | 14 November 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Event End Date: | 17 November 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Organizer: | Transport Research Arena (TRA) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Research field: | Aeronautics, Space and Transport | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Program: | Transport | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Program Themes: | Transport System | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Research area: | Transport | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Program: | V VS - Verkehrssystem | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Research theme (Project): | V - SYSTÖK - Strategische Optionen für Energieträger im Verkehr | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Location: | Berlin-Adlershof , Stuttgart | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Institutes and Institutions: | Institute of Transport Research > Means of Transport Institute of Transport Research > Spaces in Mobility and Transport Systems Institute of Vehicle Concepts Institute of Transport Research > Transport Markets and Mobility Services Institute of Transport Research > Institute and Strategy Development | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Deposited By: | Mocanu, Tudor | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Deposited On: | 02 Feb 2024 19:52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Modified: | 18 Feb 2025 12:28 |
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