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Simulation Exercises for robust Flight dispatching solution under thunderstorm disruptions

Kuenz, Alexander and Knabe, Franz and Alex, Yanik and Koyuncu, Emre and Aksoy, Muhammet and Munoz, Andres and Polaina, Manuel and Guemes, Alejandro and Pons, Jordi and Prats, Xavier and Lavandier, Julien and Delahaye, Daniel and Zopp, Raimund and Frias, Alejandra and Garcia, Javier and Soler, Manuel (2022) Simulation Exercises for robust Flight dispatching solution under thunderstorm disruptions. In: 12th EASN International Conference on Innovation in Aviation and Space for opening New Horizons, EASN 2022. 12th EASN, 2022-10-18 - 2022-10-21, Barcelona, Spanien.

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Official URL: https://easnconference.eu/2022/

Abstract

The development, implementation and validation of optimisation algorithms for robust airline operations that result in stable and resilient Air Traffic Management (ATM) performance even in disturbed scenarios are the overall goals of START. This presentation focusses on the validation part. The validation of the START robust airline operations is performed by comparing the performance of a reference and a resilient scenario under disturbed and undisturbed conditions. The reference scenario is derived from the traffic demand for two days in 2018, June 7th and June 10th with strong convective weather phenomena. The resilient scenario is built on the reference scenario but is prepared for more frequent planning updates due to changing forecasts of capacity shortfalls mainly caused by weather impacts. Resiliency refers to the intrinsic ability of a system to adjust its functioning prior to, during, or following changes and disturbances. Within the validation trials performed, disturbances are included by means of convective weather areas which are handled as No-Fly-Zones (NFZ). Validation of the START results is performed threefold. First, reference and resilient scenarios are compared, mainly focussing on expected duration of overall conflict hours of aircraft with other aircraft and convective weather zones. Second, real life departure uncertainties are added by means of Monte-Carlo simulations with different distributions. Finally, scenarios are resolved with conflict resolution algorithms above FL150 as far as possible. The presentation gives an overview of the validation results, showing an overall low but stable benefit for the adapted aircraft fleet (Star Alliance) of the resilient scenario, with no negative effects for the global scenario.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/188633/
Document Type:Conference or Workshop Item (Speech)
Title:Simulation Exercises for robust Flight dispatching solution under thunderstorm disruptions
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iDORCID Put Code
Kuenz, AlexanderUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-5192-8894UNSPECIFIED
Knabe, FranzUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-3097-0310UNSPECIFIED
Alex, YanikUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0009-0004-6592-6901UNSPECIFIED
Koyuncu, EmreUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Aksoy, MuhammetUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Munoz, AndresUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Polaina, ManuelUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Guemes, AlejandroUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Pons, JordiUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Prats, XavierUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Lavandier, JulienUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Delahaye, DanielUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Zopp, RaimundUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Frias, AlejandraUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Garcia, JavierUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Soler, ManuelUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Date:19 October 2022
Journal or Publication Title:12th EASN International Conference on Innovation in Aviation and Space for opening New Horizons, EASN 2022
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:No
Gold Open Access:No
In SCOPUS:No
In ISI Web of Science:No
Status:Published
Keywords:Disruptive Weather, Convective Weather, START, Validation
Event Title:12th EASN
Event Location:Barcelona, Spanien
Event Type:international Conference
Event Start Date:18 October 2022
Event End Date:21 October 2022
Organizer:EASN
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Aeronautics
HGF - Program Themes:Air Transportation and Impact
DLR - Research area:Aeronautics
DLR - Program:L AI - Air Transportation and Impact
DLR - Research theme (Project):L - Integrated Flight Guidance
Location: Braunschweig
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Flight Guidance > Pilot Assistance
Deposited By: Kuenz, Dr. Alexander
Deposited On:10 Nov 2022 09:30
Last Modified:24 Apr 2024 20:49

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