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Gierens, Klaus Martin (2021) Contrail Statistics, Big Hits and Predictability. RAeS Conference: Mitigating the climate impact of non-CO2 – Aviation’s low-hanging fruit, 2021-03-23 - 2021-03-24, virtuell.
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Abstract
Kondensstreifen tragen zur Erwärmung des Klimas bei; dabei sind aber nur 1-2% der geflogenen Strecken für einen sehr großen (ca 80%) Anteil des Strahlungsantriebs verantwortlich. Der Vortrag behandelt die Frage, inwieweit die Flugwettervorhersage in der Lage ist, diese 1-2% vorherzusagen, was verbessert werden müsste, und welche Arbeiten daher in der nahen Zukunft anliegen. Zusätzlich wird der wesentliche Unterschied zw. "Unsicherheit" und "Variabilität" an einem Beispiel erläutert und darauf hingewiesen, dass die Variabilität des Wetters es unmöglich macht, für den Klimaeffekt von Kondensstreifen einen robusten Mittelwert zu bestimmen.
| Item URL in elib: | https://elib.dlr.de/141532/ | ||||||||
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| Document Type: | Conference or Workshop Item (Speech) | ||||||||
| Title: | Contrail Statistics, Big Hits and Predictability | ||||||||
| Authors: |
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| Date: | 23 March 2021 | ||||||||
| Refereed publication: | No | ||||||||
| Open Access: | No | ||||||||
| Gold Open Access: | No | ||||||||
| In SCOPUS: | No | ||||||||
| In ISI Web of Science: | No | ||||||||
| Status: | Published | ||||||||
| Keywords: | Kondensstreifen, Klima, Vorhersage, Big Hits, Unsicherheit, Variabilität | ||||||||
| Event Title: | RAeS Conference: Mitigating the climate impact of non-CO2 – Aviation’s low-hanging fruit | ||||||||
| Event Location: | virtuell | ||||||||
| Event Type: | international Conference | ||||||||
| Event Start Date: | 23 March 2021 | ||||||||
| Event End Date: | 24 March 2021 | ||||||||
| Organizer: | Royal Aeronautical Society (RAeS) | ||||||||
| HGF - Research field: | Aeronautics, Space and Transport | ||||||||
| HGF - Program: | Aeronautics | ||||||||
| HGF - Program Themes: | Air Transportation and Impact | ||||||||
| DLR - Research area: | Aeronautics | ||||||||
| DLR - Program: | L AI - Air Transportation and Impact | ||||||||
| DLR - Research theme (Project): | L - Climate, Weather and Environment | ||||||||
| Location: | Oberpfaffenhofen | ||||||||
| Institutes and Institutions: | Institute of Atmospheric Physics > Earth System Modelling | ||||||||
| Deposited By: | Gierens, Dr.rer.nat. Klaus Martin | ||||||||
| Deposited On: | 25 Mar 2021 12:38 | ||||||||
| Last Modified: | 02 Mar 2026 10:49 |
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