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Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report

Archibald, A. T. and Neu, J. L. and Elshorbany, Y. F. and Cooper, O. R. and Young, P. J. and Akiyoshi, H. and Cox, R. A. and Coyle, M. and Derwent, R. G. and Deushi, M. and Finco, A. and Frost, G. J. and Galbally, I. E. and Gerosa, G. and Granier, C. and Griffiths, P. T. and Hossaini, R. and Hu, L. and Jöckel, Patrick and Josse, B. and Lin, M. Y. and Mertens, Mariano and Morgenstern, O. and Naja, M. and Naik, V. and Oltmans, S. and Plummer, D. A. and Revell, L. E. and Saiz-Lopez, A. and Saxena, P. and Shin, Y. M. and Shahid, I. and Shallcross, D. and Tilmes, S. and Trickl, T. and Wallington, T. J. and Wang, T. and Worden, H. M. and Zeng, G. (2020) Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report. Elementa : Science of the Anthropocene, 8 (1), pp. 1-53. BioOne. doi: 10.1525/elementa.2020.034. ISSN 2325-1026.

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1525/elementa.2020.034


Our understanding of the processes that control the burden and budget of tropospheric ozone has changed dramatically over the last 60 years. Models are the key tools used to understand these changes, and these underscore that there are many processes important in controlling the tropospheric ozone budget. In this critical review, we assess our evolving understanding of these processes, both physical and chemical. We review model simulations from the International Global Atmospheric Chemistry Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project and Chemistry Climate Modelling Initiative to assess the changes in the tropospheric ozone burden and its budget from 1850 to 2010. Analysis of these data indicates that there has been significant growth in the ozone burden from 1850 to 2000 (approximately 43 ± 9%) but smaller growth between 1960 and 2000 (approximately 16 ± 10%) and that the models simulate burdens of ozone well within recent satellite estimates. The Chemistry Climate Modelling Initiative model ozone budgets indicate that the net chemical production of ozone in the troposphere plateaued in the 1990s and has not changed since then inspite of increases in the burden. There has been a shift in net ozone production in the troposphere being greatest in the northern mid and high latitudes to the northern tropics, driven by the regional evolution of precursor emissions. An analysis of the evolution of tropospheric ozone through the 21st century, as simulated by Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models, reveals a large source of uncertainty associated with models themselves (i.e., in the way that they simulate the chemical and physical processes that control tropospheric ozone). This structural uncertainty is greatest in the near term (two to three decades), but emissions scenarios dominate uncertainty in the longer term (2050–2100) evolution of tropospheric ozone. This intrinsic model uncertainty prevents robust predictions of near-term changes in the tropospheric ozone burden, and we review how progress can be made to reduce this limitation.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/140344/
Document Type:Article
Title:Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iD
Archibald, A. T.Yusuf Hamied Department of Chemistry, University ofUNSPECIFIED
Neu, J. L.Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology,UNSPECIFIED
Elshorbany, Y. F.School of Geosciences, College of Arts and Sciences,UNSPECIFIED
Cooper, O. R.Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences,UNSPECIFIED
Young, P. J.Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, UnitedUNSPECIFIED
Akiyoshi, H.Climate Modeling and Analysis Section, Center for GlobalUNSPECIFIED
Cox, R. A.Yusuf Hamied Department of Chemistry, University ofUNSPECIFIED
Coyle, M.UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology Edinburgh, Bush Estate,UNSPECIFIED
Derwent, R. G.rdscientific, Newbury, United KingdomUNSPECIFIED
Deushi, M.Meteorological Research Institute, Japan MeteorologicalUNSPECIFIED
Finco, A.Dipartimento di Matematica e Fisica, Universita` Cattolica delUNSPECIFIED
Frost, G. J.NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, USAUNSPECIFIED
Galbally, I. E.Climate Science Centre, CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere,UNSPECIFIED
Gerosa, G.Dipartimento di Matematica e Fisica, Universita` Cattolica delUNSPECIFIED
Granier, C.Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences,UNSPECIFIED
Griffiths, P. T.Yusuf Hamied Department of Chemistry, University ofUNSPECIFIED
Hossaini, R.Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, UnitedUNSPECIFIED
Hu, L.Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, University ofUNSPECIFIED
Jöckel, PatrickDLR, IPAhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-8964-1394
Josse, B.Centre National de Recherches Me´te´ orologiques, Universite´UNSPECIFIED
Lin, M. Y.Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences, Princeton University andUNSPECIFIED
Mertens, MarianoDLR, IPAhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3549-6889
Morgenstern, O.National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research,UNSPECIFIED
Naja, M.Aryabhatta Research Institute of Observational Sciences,UNSPECIFIED
Naik, V.NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ,UNSPECIFIED
Oltmans, S.NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory, Boulder, CO, USAUNSPECIFIED
Plummer, D. A.Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate ChangeUNSPECIFIED
Revell, L. E.School of Physical and Chemical Sciences, University ofUNSPECIFIED
Saiz-Lopez, A.Department of Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate,UNSPECIFIED
Saxena, P.School of Environmental Sciences, Jawaharlal NehruUNSPECIFIED
Shin, Y. M.Yusuf Hamied Department of Chemistry, University ofUNSPECIFIED
Shahid, I.Institute of Space Technology, Islamabad, PakistanUNSPECIFIED
Shallcross, D.School of Chemistry, Cantock’s Close, University of Bristol,UNSPECIFIED
Tilmes, S.Atmospheric Chemistry Observations & Modeling LaboratoryUNSPECIFIED
Trickl, T.Karlsruher Institut fu¨r Technologie, IMK-IFU, GarmischPartenkirchen, GermanyUNSPECIFIED
Wallington, T. J.Research & Advanced Engineering, Ford Motor Company,UNSPECIFIED
Wang, T.Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, TheUNSPECIFIED
Worden, H. M.Atmospheric Chemistry Observations & Modeling LaboratoryUNSPECIFIED
Zeng, G.National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research,UNSPECIFIED
Date:30 December 2020
Journal or Publication Title:Elementa : Science of the Anthropocene
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:Yes
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
Page Range:pp. 1-53
Keywords:Ozone, Tropospheric chemistry, Ozone budget, Chemistry transport models, Tropospheric ozone, EMAC, MESSy, CCMI, Chemistry Climate Modelling
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Space
HGF - Program Themes:Earth Observation
DLR - Research area:Raumfahrt
DLR - Program:R EO - Earth Observation
DLR - Research theme (Project):R - Atmospheric and climate research, R - Project Climatic relevance of atmospheric tracer gases, aerosols and clouds, V - Transport und Klima
Location: Oberpfaffenhofen
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Atmospheric Physics > Earth System Modelling
Deposited By: Jöckel, Dr. Patrick
Deposited On:13 Jan 2021 09:30
Last Modified:13 Jan 2021 09:30

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