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Climate impact of German air traffic: A scenario approach

Hepting, Michael and Pak, Henry and Grimme, Wolfgang and Dahlmann, Katrin and Jung, Martin and Wilken, Dieter (2020) Climate impact of German air traffic: A scenario approach. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment. Elsevier. doi: 10.1016/j.trd.2020.102467. ISSN 1361-9209.

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Abstract

Transport is considered to be a major contributor to emissions, resulting in a deterioration of local air quality and contributing to global climate change. The present paper focuses on how passenger flights departing from German airports contribute to global climate change. We describe in detail, how traffic forecasts for three scenarios entitled Reference, Free Play and Regulated Shift have been developed and how the resultant emissions have been quantified. Subsequently, we applied a climate model, providing insights into the very long-term climate effects under different assumptions on emissions up to the year 2100. The modelling framework shows that the development of emissions results from complex interactions of demand development and supply decisions, which highly influence the climate impact. With this paper, we show that an integrated, multi-disciplinary analysis can create valuable indicators and advice for transport policy decisions.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/137329/
Document Type:Article
Title:Climate impact of German air traffic: A scenario approach
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iD
Hepting, MichaelMichael.Hepting (at) dlr.dehttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-8962-2265
Pak, HenryHenry.Pak (at) dlr.dehttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6259-3441
Grimme, Wolfgangwolfgang.grimme (at) dlr.dehttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8498-6281
Dahlmann, KatrinDLR, IPAhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3198-1713
Jung, MartinM.Jung (at) dlr.dehttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1860-297X
Wilken, DieterDieter.Wilken (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Date:2020
Journal or Publication Title:Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:No
In SCOPUS:Yes
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
DOI :10.1016/j.trd.2020.102467
Publisher:Elsevier
ISSN:1361-9209
Status:Published
Keywords:Aviation, Air transport modeling, Emissions, Emissions modeling, Climate change, Climate change mitigation potential
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Transport
HGF - Program Themes:Transport System
DLR - Research area:Transport
DLR - Program:V VS - Verkehrssystem
DLR - Research theme (Project):V - Transport und Klima
Location: Köln-Porz
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Air Transport and Airport Research > Air Transport Research
Institute of Atmospheric Physics > Earth System Modelling
Deposited By: Pak, Henry
Deposited On:09 Nov 2020 14:48
Last Modified:27 Nov 2020 15:24

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