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Climate impact of German air traffic: A scenario approach

Hepting, Michael and Pak, Henry and Grimme, Wolfgang and Dahlmann, Katrin and Jung, Martin and Wilken, Dieter (2020) Climate impact of German air traffic: A scenario approach. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment. Elsevier. doi: 10.1016/j.trd.2020.102467. ISSN 1361-9209.

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Transport is considered to be a major contributor to emissions, resulting in a deterioration of local air quality and contributing to global climate change. The present paper focuses on how passenger flights departing from German airports contribute to global climate change. We describe in detail, how traffic forecasts for three scenarios entitled Reference, Free Play and Regulated Shift have been developed and how the resultant emissions have been quantified. Subsequently, we applied a climate model, providing insights into the very long-term climate effects under different assumptions on emissions up to the year 2100. The modelling framework shows that the development of emissions results from complex interactions of demand development and supply decisions, which highly influence the climate impact. With this paper, we show that an integrated, multi-disciplinary analysis can create valuable indicators and advice for transport policy decisions.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/137329/
Document Type:Article
Title:Climate impact of German air traffic: A scenario approach
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iDORCID Put Code
Hepting, MichaelUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-8962-2265UNSPECIFIED
Pak, HenryUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6259-3441UNSPECIFIED
Grimme, WolfgangUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8498-6281UNSPECIFIED
Dahlmann, KatrinDLR, IPAhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3198-1713UNSPECIFIED
Jung, MartinUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1860-297XUNSPECIFIED
Journal or Publication Title:Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:No
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
Keywords:Aviation, Air transport modeling, Emissions, Emissions modeling, Climate change, Climate change mitigation potential
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Transport
HGF - Program Themes:Transport System
DLR - Research area:Transport
DLR - Program:V VS - Verkehrssystem
DLR - Research theme (Project):V - Transport und Klima (old)
Location: Köln-Porz
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Air Transport and Airport Research > Air Transport Research
Institute of Atmospheric Physics > Earth System Modelling
Deposited By: Pak, Henry
Deposited On:09 Nov 2020 14:48
Last Modified:24 Oct 2023 10:46

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