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Terekhov, Ivan and Schilling, Thomas and Niklaß, Malte and Ghosh, Robin (2018) ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF NEW TECHNOLOGIES IN AVIATION USING A GLOBAL AIRCRAFT FLEET FORECASTING MODEL. AEGATS 2018, 2018-10-23 - 2018-10-25, Toulouse, France.
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Abstract
The paper presents the global fleet forecast model FFWD which forecasts world fleet fuel consumption and CO2 emissions. This forecast is based on current demand forecasts, fleet data, retirement curves, expected future aircraft entry into service timelines, and market penetrations. To assess the influence of novel aircraft configurations (fleet renewal) on global CO2 emissions, a yearly fuel consumption and utilization value is assigned to each active aircraft. For the new aircraft in the fleet, different technology combinations can be modelled, which lead to variations in CO2 emissions level. Thus, different technology scenarios can be built, where each scenario represents different technology combinations and entries into service. Therefore, the proposed modelling approach allows for an estimation of the future CO2 level evolution for each technology scenario
| Item URL in elib: | https://elib.dlr.de/123299/ | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Document Type: | Conference or Workshop Item (Speech) | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Title: | ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF NEW TECHNOLOGIES IN AVIATION USING A GLOBAL AIRCRAFT FLEET FORECASTING MODEL | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Authors: |
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| Date: | October 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Refereed publication: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Open Access: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Gold Open Access: | No | ||||||||||||||||||||
| In SCOPUS: | No | ||||||||||||||||||||
| In ISI Web of Science: | No | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Status: | Published | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Keywords: | technologies, aviation, assessment, global aircraft fleet, forecast, modelling, technology roadmap, scenario, CO2 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Event Title: | AEGATS 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Event Location: | Toulouse, France | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Event Type: | international Conference | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Event Start Date: | 23 October 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Event End Date: | 25 October 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Research field: | Energy | ||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Program: | Technology, Innovation and Society | ||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Program Themes: | Renewable Energy and Material Resources for Sustainable Futures - Integrating at Different Scales | ||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Research area: | Energy | ||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Program: | E SY - Energy Systems Analysis | ||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Research theme (Project): | E - Systems Analysis and Technology Assessment (old) | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Location: | Hamburg | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Institutes and Institutions: | Air Transport Operations > System Analysis Air Transport | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Deposited By: | Terekhov, Ivan | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Deposited On: | 01 Feb 2019 12:43 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Modified: | 18 Jun 2024 12:28 |
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