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Wenzel, Sabrina and Eyring, Veronika and Gerber, Edwin P. and Karpechko, Alexey Yu. (2016) Constraining Future Summer Austral Jet Stream Positions in the CMIP5 Ensemble by Process-oriented Multiple Diagnostic Regression. Journal of Climate, 29 (2), pp. 673-687. American Meteorological Society. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0412.1. ISSN 0894-8755.
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Abstract
Stratospheric ozone recovery and increasing greenhouse gases are anticipated to have a large impact on the Southern Hemisphere extratropical circulation, shifting the jet stream and associated storm tracks. Models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 poorly simulate the austral jet, with a mean equatorward bias and 10° spread in their historical climatologies, and project a wide range of future trends in response to anthropogenic forcing in the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP).
| Item URL in elib: | https://elib.dlr.de/102003/ | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Document Type: | Article | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Title: | Constraining Future Summer Austral Jet Stream Positions in the CMIP5 Ensemble by Process-oriented Multiple Diagnostic Regression | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Authors: |
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| Date: | January 2016 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Journal of Climate | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Refereed publication: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Open Access: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Gold Open Access: | No | ||||||||||||||||||||
| In SCOPUS: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| In ISI Web of Science: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Volume: | 29 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| DOI: | 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0412.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Page Range: | pp. 673-687 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Publisher: | American Meteorological Society | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Series Name: | American Meteorological Sociaty | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ISSN: | 0894-8755 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Status: | Published | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Keywords: | Emergent Constraint, SH Jet Stream, Klima Projectionen, MDER | ||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Research field: | Aeronautics, Space and Transport | ||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Program: | Space | ||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Program Themes: | Earth Observation | ||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Research area: | Raumfahrt | ||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Program: | R EO - Earth Observation | ||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Research theme (Project): | R - Projekt ESMVal (old) | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Location: | Oberpfaffenhofen | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Institutes and Institutions: | Institute of Atmospheric Physics > Earth System Modelling | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Deposited By: | Zechlau, Sabrina | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Deposited On: | 15 Jan 2016 17:09 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Modified: | 03 Nov 2023 08:06 |
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