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Clustering of airport cities and cluster dynamic for the air passenger demand forecasting model based on a socio-economic scenario

Terekhov, Ivan and Gollnick, Volker (2015) Clustering of airport cities and cluster dynamic for the air passenger demand forecasting model based on a socio-economic scenario. 5th CEAS Air & Space Conference, 7-11 Sept 2015, Delft, The Netherlands.

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Abstract

This study presents methods of grouping cities into clusters by their socio-economic indicators and tracing changes in the content of cluster within a socio-economic scenario. For cities’ grouping, three main clustering approaches have been analyzed: hierarchical, exclusive and probabilistic clustering. Analyzing advantages and disadvantages of these approaches, probabilistic clustering of normal mixture has been chosen to separate cities from the air passenger demand (APD) forecasting model. Three parameters, a city’s GDP, population and GDP per capita, have been used for clustering. Utilizing these parameters and based on special metrics, separation of cities into 9 clusters has been chosen. Furthermore, this study introduces the “cluster dynamic”. The cluster dynamic defines how cities are allocated to the various clusters at a given point in time within a socio-economic scenario.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/101255/
Document Type:Conference or Workshop Item (Speech)
Title:Clustering of airport cities and cluster dynamic for the air passenger demand forecasting model based on a socio-economic scenario
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthors ORCID iD
Terekhov, IvanIvan.Terekhov (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Gollnick, VolkerVolker.Gollnick (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Date:September 2015
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:No
In SCOPUS:No
In ISI Web of Science:No
Status:Published
Keywords:clustering, forecast, air passenger demand, scenario
Event Title:5th CEAS Air & Space Conference
Event Location:Delft, The Netherlands
Event Type:international Conference
Event Dates:7-11 Sept 2015
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Aeronautics
HGF - Program Themes:air traffic management and operations
DLR - Research area:Aeronautics
DLR - Program:L AO - Air Traffic Management and Operation
DLR - Research theme (Project):L - Air Transport Concepts and Operation (old)
Location: Hamburg
Institutes and Institutions:Air Transport Operations > System Analysis Air Transport
Deposited By: Terekhov, Ivan
Deposited On:27 Jan 2016 14:31
Last Modified:31 Jul 2019 19:58

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