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Analysis of Prognostics and Condition-based Maintenance Concepts for Commercial Aircraft Considering Prognostic Errors

Hölzel, Nico and Gollnick, Volker (2015) Analysis of Prognostics and Condition-based Maintenance Concepts for Commercial Aircraft Considering Prognostic Errors. In: Proceedings of the Annual Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society 2015, pp. 509-524. Annual Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society 2015, 18.-22. Okt. 2015, San Diego, USA. ISBN 978-1-936263-20-2

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Official URL: https://www.phmsociety.org/events/conference/phm/15/proceedings

Abstract

This paper provides a lifecycle cost-benefit analysis of the use of Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) systems in future or present commercial aircraft. The approach considers individual aircraft component’s failure behavior, prognostic performance levels including prognostic errors, and condition-based maintenance (CBM) concepts. The proposed methodology is based on a discrete-event simulation for aircraft operation and maintenance and uses an optimization algorithm for the planning and scheduling of condition-based maintenance (CBM) tasks. In the study, a 150-seat short-/medium-range aircraft equipped with PHM and subject to a CBM program is analyzed. The simulation results are evaluated from an operational and economic perspective. The analysis results can support the derivation of technical and economic requirements for prognostic systems and CBM planning concepts.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/100435/
Document Type:Conference or Workshop Item (Speech)
Title:Analysis of Prognostics and Condition-based Maintenance Concepts for Commercial Aircraft Considering Prognostic Errors
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthors ORCID iD
Hölzel, Niconico.hoelzel (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Gollnick, VolkerVolker.Gollnick (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Date:October 2015
Journal or Publication Title:Proceedings of the Annual Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society 2015
Refereed publication:No
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:No
In SCOPUS:No
In ISI Web of Science:No
Page Range:pp. 509-524
Editors:
EditorsEmail
Daigle, Matthew J.UNSPECIFIED
Bregon, AnibalUNSPECIFIED
ISBN:978-1-936263-20-2
Status:Published
Keywords:CBM; Condition Based Maintenance; cost-benefit analysis; discrete-event simulation; prognostic errors, IVHM, prognostics
Event Title:Annual Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society 2015
Event Location:San Diego, USA
Event Type:international Conference
Event Dates:18.-22. Okt. 2015
Organizer:PHM Society
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Aeronautics
HGF - Program Themes:fixed-wing aircraft
DLR - Research area:Aeronautics
DLR - Program:L AR - Aircraft Research
DLR - Research theme (Project):L - Concepts and Integration
Location: Hamburg
Institutes and Institutions:Air Transport Operations > System Analysis Air Transport
Deposited By: Hölzel, Nico
Deposited On:27 Jan 2016 14:31
Last Modified:31 Jul 2019 19:57

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