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Exploration of the Impact of Electric Vehicle Policies on Vehicle Registration, Emissions and Cost-Benefit-Analysis

Klötzke, Matthias and Kugler, Ulrike and Heinl, Felix and Bühne, Jan-André and Kurte, Judith and Esser, Klaus (2015) Exploration of the Impact of Electric Vehicle Policies on Vehicle Registration, Emissions and Cost-Benefit-Analysis. European Transport Conference 2015, 28.-30. Sep. 2015, Frankfurt/Main.

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Official URL: http://abstracts.aetransport.org/paper/index/id/4580/confid/20

Abstract

The member states of the European Union (EU) have agreed to path a way towards a towards a fossil fuel free future in the transport sector in order to reduce carbon emissions (EC 2011). In order to fulfil its national obligations within these supranational ambitions, the German government identified a mitigation potential of approx. 7-10 million tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) within its Climate Action Programme 2020 (BMUB 2014). One key component of the GHG mitigation strategies is the promotion of electric vehicles in passenger transport. For that reason, the support of research on the technological development and mechanisms to foster the market introduction of electric vehicles has been intensified in all member states. First of all, the applied methodology for the scenario calculation of market penetration pathways and their socio-economic impact estimation for the deployment of electric passenger vehicles are described. The framework and calculation prerequisites as well as the results are presented for EU28 and for the focus country Germany. After the elaboration of the scenario settings, which covers parameters such as energy prices, well-to-tank emissions as well as emission cost factors to monetarize them, two different scenario alternatives (Business-as-Usual, Policy-Driven) are analysed. The development of the market shares of different propulsion technologies for total sales of new passenger cars as well as the total passenger car stock are displayed. Furthermore, corresponding socio-economic (e.g. emission costs, cost of owning and operating) impacts for the specific regional focus and the alternative scenarios are discussed.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/98813/
Document Type:Conference or Workshop Item (Speech)
Title:Exploration of the Impact of Electric Vehicle Policies on Vehicle Registration, Emissions and Cost-Benefit-Analysis
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthors ORCID iD
Klötzke, Matthiasmatthias.kloetzke (at) dlr.dehttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1520-4263
Kugler, Ulrikeulrike.kugler (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Heinl, FelixBundesanstalt für StraßenwesenUNSPECIFIED
Bühne, Jan-AndréBundesanstalt für StraßenwesenUNSPECIFIED
Kurte, JudithKE-CONSULT Kurte&Esser GbRUNSPECIFIED
Esser, KlausKE-CONSULT Kurte&Esser GbRUNSPECIFIED
Date:29 September 2015
Refereed publication:No
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:No
In SCOPUS:No
In ISI Web of Science:No
Status:Published
Keywords:GHG-Emissions EV-Policy Cost Benefit Analysis CBA Vehicle Registration EV market VECTOR21 scenario
Event Title:European Transport Conference 2015
Event Location:Frankfurt/Main
Event Type:international Conference
Event Dates:28.-30. Sep. 2015
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Transport
HGF - Program Themes:other
DLR - Research area:Transport
DLR - Program:V - no assignment
DLR - Research theme (Project):V - no assignment
Location: Stuttgart
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Vehicle Concepts > Fahrzeugsysteme und Technologiebewertung
Deposited By: Klötzke, Matthias
Deposited On:01 Dec 2015 13:06
Last Modified:31 Jul 2019 19:55

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