Long Distance Mobility in Central Europe: Status Quo and Current Trends

Kurzfassung

While the mobility in the context of everyday life has recently almost stagnated in central Europe, long distance mobility continues to grow substantially. Against this background, the paper presents the status quo, current trends and future perspectives of long distance mobil-ity in central Europe, with focus on Germany. In speaking of long-distance mobility, we refer to all trips of more than 100 km (one-way). The paper presents figures on the status quo of demand for long distance mobility. We use an innovative approach to compile these demand figures in that we don’t rely on a single survey only. Instead, we add up long distance travel demand for different segments as measured by various surveys, each tailored for specific segments of long distance travel. When adding up travel demand figures we avoid double counting travel that falls into the realm of different surveys. The result of this analysis suggests substantially higher demand for long distance travel than measured with a single survey. This raises questions as to how suitable existing survey instruments are when it comes to monitoring the development of this dynamic segment of travel. The paper also presents current trends for long distance travel demand per segment. This assessment is based on empirical data and expert consultation. Specifically business trips and long trips in the context of everyday life, e.g. long-distance commuting, are characterized by growth. Taken together, particularly long distance mobility with a distance range of up to a couple of hundred kilometers is characterized by growth. In contrast, holiday trips - accounting for a third of the long distance passenger mileage and thus representing the largest segment of long distance mobility by Germans – have almost stagnated with regard to the number of trips, the average trip distance, and the use of transport modes. Also the share of holiday trips by air travel has not grown in the last few years. In contrast, air traffic in Germany continues to grow; this, however, is increasingly driven by growing air travel by passengers from other regions of the world.