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An economic–geographic assessment of the potential for a new air transport hub in post-Gaddafi Libya

Maertens, Sven and Grimme, Wolfgang and Jung, Martin (2014) An economic–geographic assessment of the potential for a new air transport hub in post-Gaddafi Libya. Journal of Transport Geography, 38, pp. 1-12. Elsevier. doi: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2014.04.013. ISSN 0966-6923.

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Official URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S096669231400074X


Post-war Libya is faced with the challenge of adopting an air transport strategy for the future. One issue is how to address projects inaugurated under the Gaddafi government, such as the terminal extension at Tripoli International Airport. Additionally, the state-owned Afriqiyah Airlines had been establishing a niche hub in Tripoli before the 2011 war, but this development has subsequently been stalled. Against this background, we analyse the prospects of an air transport hub operation in Libya, focusing on traffic between Africa and Europe, from a bird’s-eye economic–geographic view. First, a literature review is undertaken to identify general success factors for air transport hubs. Second, a weighted average distance penalty (WADP) indicator is developed and applied to Tripoli as a potential hub location. This indicator considers all 4755 O&Ds between Europe and Africa with more than 100 passengers in 2012. For sensitivity reasons, alternative WADPs are estimated for the 3209 traffic flows not including North Africa and for (forecasted) future air traffic demand in 2020. The results for Tripoli International Airport are benchmarked against competing hub locations, such as Algiers, Cairo, and the major European airports. We conclude by discussing the implications of the current and anticipated future security and economic situation in the country.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/90531/
Document Type:Article
Title:An economic–geographic assessment of the potential for a new air transport hub in post-Gaddafi Libya
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iD
Maertens, Svensven.maertens (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Grimme, Wolfgangwolfgang.grimme (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Jung, Martinm.jung (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Date:June 2014
Journal or Publication Title:Journal of Transport Geography
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:No
Gold Open Access:No
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
DOI :10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2014.04.013
Page Range:pp. 1-12
EditorsEmailEditor's ORCID iD
Schwanen, Timtim.schwanen@ouce.ox.ac.ukUNSPECIFIED
Keywords:Airports; Air transport; Hub competition; Hub location; Libya
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Transport
HGF - Program Themes:Transport System
DLR - Research area:Transport
DLR - Program:V VS - Verkehrssystem
DLR - Research theme (Project):V - Verkehrsentwicklung und Umwelt II (old)
Location: Köln-Porz
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Air Transport and Airport Research > Air Transport Research
Deposited By: Maertens, Dr. Sven
Deposited On:08 Sep 2014 09:45
Last Modified:08 Sep 2014 09:45

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