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Calculating Potential Emission Reductions through the Introduction of Electric Vehicles

Kihm, Alexander und Trommer, Stefan und Mehlin, Markus (2013) Calculating Potential Emission Reductions through the Introduction of Electric Vehicles. TRB 2013 Annual Meeting, 2013-01-13 - 2013-01-17, Washington D.C., USA.

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Kurzfassung

Electric vehicles are expected to significantly reduce road transport emissions, given an increasingly renewable power generation. While technological issues are more and more being overcome, the economic viability and thus possible adoption is still constrained, mainly by higher prices than for conventional vehicles. However, first vehicles have been available on the market for some time now and many more are expected to arrive soon and at decreasing cost. In our work we analyze the possible market development for electric vehicles with an application to Germany. We develop a drivetrain choice model with economical, technical and social constraints on the current vehicle registrations and inventory. It estimates the demand for electric vehicles until 2030 for private and commercially registered cars as well as light commercial vehicles. The results show a replacement potential of more than one fourth of the total German annual mileage for these vehicles. The result has a high granularity to allow for detailed emission calculation along different spatial areas as well as vehicle and engine types. Besides a baseline forecast, our method allows for calculating different scenarios regarding policy actions or the future development of important parameters such as energy prices. The results provide insights for policy measures as well as for transport and environmental modeling.

elib-URL des Eintrags:https://elib.dlr.de/84229/
Dokumentart:Konferenzbeitrag (Vortrag)
Titel:Calculating Potential Emission Reductions through the Introduction of Electric Vehicles
Autoren:
AutorenInstitution oder E-Mail-AdresseAutoren-ORCID-iDORCID Put Code
Kihm, AlexanderAlexander.Kihm (at) dlr.deNICHT SPEZIFIZIERTNICHT SPEZIFIZIERT
Trommer, Stefanstefan.trommer (at) dlr.deNICHT SPEZIFIZIERTNICHT SPEZIFIZIERT
Mehlin, Markusmarkus.mehlin (at) dlr.deNICHT SPEZIFIZIERTNICHT SPEZIFIZIERT
Datum:Januar 2013
Referierte Publikation:Ja
Open Access:Ja
Gold Open Access:Nein
In SCOPUS:Nein
In ISI Web of Science:Nein
Status:veröffentlicht
Stichwörter:EV PHEV BEV market potential emission reduction Germany petrol diesel TCO cost break-even 2015 2020 2025 2030
Veranstaltungstitel:TRB 2013 Annual Meeting
Veranstaltungsort:Washington D.C., USA
Veranstaltungsart:internationale Konferenz
Veranstaltungsbeginn:13 Januar 2013
Veranstaltungsende:17 Januar 2013
Veranstalter :Transportation Research Board of the National Academies
HGF - Forschungsbereich:Luftfahrt, Raumfahrt und Verkehr
HGF - Programm:Verkehr
HGF - Programmthema:Verkehrssystem
DLR - Schwerpunkt:Verkehr
DLR - Forschungsgebiet:V VS - Verkehrssystem
DLR - Teilgebiet (Projekt, Vorhaben):V - Verkehrsentwicklung und Umwelt II (alt)
Standort: Berlin-Adlershof
Institute & Einrichtungen:Institut für Verkehrsforschung
Hinterlegt von: Kihm, Alexander
Hinterlegt am:16 Sep 2013 07:57
Letzte Änderung:24 Apr 2024 19:50

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