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Aerosols for Concentrating Solar Electricity Production Forecasts: Requirement Quantification and ECMWF/MACC Aerosol Forecast Assessment

Schroedter-Homscheidt, Marion and Oumbe, Armel and Benedetti, Angela and Morcrette, Jean-Jacques (2013) Aerosols for Concentrating Solar Electricity Production Forecasts: Requirement Quantification and ECMWF/MACC Aerosol Forecast Assessment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94, pp. 903-914. American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00259.1 ISSN 0003-0007

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Official URL: http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00259.1

Abstract

The potential for transferring a larger share of our energy supply toward renewable energy is a widely discussed goal in society, economics, environment, and climate-related programs. For a larger share of electricity to come from fluctuating solar and wind energy-based electricity, production forecasts are required to ensure successful grid integration. Concentrating solar power holds the potential to make the fluctuating solar electricity a dispatchable resource by using both heat storage systems and solar production forecasts based on a reliable weather prediction. These solar technologies exploit the direct irradiance at the surface, which is a quantity very dependent on the aerosol extinction with values up to 100%. Results from present-day numerical weather forecasts are inadequate, as they generally use climatologies for dealing with aerosol extinction. Therefore, meteorological forecasts have to be extended by chemical weather forecasts. The paper aims at quantifying on a global scale the question of whether and where daily mean or hourly forecasts are required, or if persistence is sufficient in some regions. It assesses the performance of recently introduced NWP aerosol schemes by using the ECMWF/Monitoring Atmospheric Composition and Climate (MACC) forecast, which is a preparatory activity for the upcoming European Global Monitoring for Environment and Security (GMES) Atmosphere Service.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/83302/
Document Type:Article
Title:Aerosols for Concentrating Solar Electricity Production Forecasts: Requirement Quantification and ECMWF/MACC Aerosol Forecast Assessment
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthors ORCID iD
Schroedter-Homscheidt, MarionDLRUNSPECIFIED
Oumbe, ArmelTotal New EnergiesUNSPECIFIED
Benedetti, AngelaECMWFUNSPECIFIED
Morcrette, Jean-JacquesECMWFUNSPECIFIED
Date:2013
Journal or Publication Title:Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:No
In SCOPUS:Yes
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
Volume:94
DOI :10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00259.1
Page Range:pp. 903-914
Publisher:American Meteorological Society
ISSN:0003-0007
Status:Published
Keywords:aerosol, concentrating solar technologies, solar electricity, MACC, solar energy
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Space
HGF - Program Themes:Earth Observation
DLR - Research area:Raumfahrt
DLR - Program:R EO - Erdbeobachtung
DLR - Research theme (Project):R - Vorhaben Atmosphären- und Klimaforschung
Location: Oberpfaffenhofen
Institutes and Institutions:German Remote Sensing Data Center > Atmosphere
Deposited By: Schroedter-Homscheidt, Marion
Deposited On:17 Jul 2013 13:53
Last Modified:31 Jul 2019 19:41

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