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Stratospheric Ozone in the 21st Century

Waugh, D.W. and Eyring, V. and Kinnison, D.E. (2011) Stratospheric Ozone in the 21st Century. In: Stratospheric Ozone Depletion and Climate Change pp. 253-278. ISBN 978-1-84973-318-2 .

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Official URL: http://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/chapter/bk9781849730020-00253/978-1-84973-002-0


This chapter discusses the future evolution of stratospheric ozone and its return to historical values from state-of-the-art three-dimensional coupled chemistry-climate models. These models have been developed by international research groups and evaluated by the atmospheric science community over the last two decades and include a detailed representation of the physical, dynamical, and chemical processes of the atmosphere, with a focus on the stratosphere. This chapter describes the models and shows examples on how these models are evaluated with observations. Factors that affect stratospheric ozone abundance, specifically ones that relate to uncertainties in the return of ozone to historical values (e.g., stratospheric halogen loading, and climate-induced temperature and transport trends) are discussed. The projected evolution of ozone is shown for different latitude regions (e.g., tropics, mid-latitudes, and polar), for different altitudes and for the total column. Hemispheric differences are also highlighted. In general models that have a better representation of transport processes measured by the models ability to represent the mean age of air and inorganic chlorine abundances are better suited to project the evolution of ozone in the 21st century. Uncertainties in current modelling approaches and recommendations for future projection simulations are also discussed.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/72985/
Document Type:Book Section
Title:Stratospheric Ozone in the 21st Century
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthors ORCID iD
Journal or Publication Title:Stratospheric Ozone Depletion and Climate Change
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:Yes
In ISI Web of Science:No
DOI :10.5194/acp-11-599-2011
Page Range:pp. 253-278
Keywords:chemistry-climate, ozone, stratosphere, climate change, modelling
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Space
HGF - Program Themes:Earth Observation
DLR - Research area:Raumfahrt
DLR - Program:R EO - Erdbeobachtung
DLR - Research theme (Project):R - Vorhaben Atmosphären- und Klimaforschung
Location: Oberpfaffenhofen
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Atmospheric Physics > Atmospheric Dynamics
Deposited By: Freund, Jana
Deposited On:15 Dec 2011 14:15
Last Modified:08 Oct 2012 16:54

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