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November 2004 space weather events: Real-time observations and forecasts

Trichtchenko, L. and Zhukov, A. and van der Linden, R. and Stankov, S. M. and Jakowski, N. and Stanislawska, I. and Juchnikowski, G. and Wilkinson, P. and Patterson, G. and Thomson, A. W. P. (2007) November 2004 space weather events: Real-time observations and forecasts. Space Weather, 5 (S06001). American Geophysical Union. DOI: 10.1029/2006SW000281 ISSN 1542-7390

Full text not available from this repository.

Official URL: http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2007.../2006SW000281.shtml

Abstract

Space weather events with their solar origin and their distribution through the heliosphere affect the whole magnetosphere-ionosphere-Earth system. Their real-time monitoring and forecasting are important for science and technology. Here we discuss one of the largest space weather events of Solar Cycle 23, in November 2004, which was also one of the most difficult periods to forecast. Nine halo coronal mass ejections (CMEs), interacting on their way through the interplanetary medium and forming two geoeffective interplanetary structures, exemplify the complexity of the event. Real-time and quasi-real-time observations of the ground geomagnetic field show rapid and extensive expansion of the auroral oval to 55° in geomagnetic latitude accompanied by great variability of the ionosphere. Geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) seen in ground networks, such as power grids and pipelines, were significant during the event, although no problems were reported. Forecasts of the CME propagation, global and local ground geomagnetic activity, and ionospheric parameters, issued by several regional warning centers, revealed certain deficiencies in predictions of the interplanetary characteristics of the CME, size of the geomagnetic disturbances, and complexity of the ionospheric variations produced by this event. This paper is a collective report based on the materials presented at the splinter session on November 2004 events during the first European Space Weather Week.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/50975/
Document Type:Article
Title:November 2004 space weather events: Real-time observations and forecasts
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthors ORCID iD
Trichtchenko, L.Natural Resources CanadaUNSPECIFIED
Zhukov, A.Royal Observatory BelgiumUNSPECIFIED
van der Linden, R.Royal Observatory BelgiumUNSPECIFIED
Stankov, S. M.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Jakowski, N.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Stanislawska, I.Space Research Centre PolandUNSPECIFIED
Juchnikowski, G.Space Research Centre PolandUNSPECIFIED
Wilkinson, P.Ionospheric Prediction Service AustraliaUNSPECIFIED
Patterson, G.Ionospheric Prediction Service AustraliaUNSPECIFIED
Thomson, A. W. P.British Geological SurveyUNSPECIFIED
Date:June 2007
Journal or Publication Title:Space Weather
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:No
Gold Open Access:No
In SCOPUS:No
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
Volume:5
DOI :10.1029/2006SW000281
Publisher:American Geophysical Union
ISSN:1542-7390
Status:Published
Keywords:Forecasting, Magnetic Storms, Space Weather
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport (old)
HGF - Program:Space (old)
HGF - Program Themes:W EO - Erdbeobachtung
DLR - Research area:Space
DLR - Program:W EO - Erdbeobachtung
DLR - Research theme (Project):W - Vorhaben Ionosphärenerkundung (old)
Location: Berlin-Adlershof
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Communication and Navigation > Navigation
Deposited By: Stankov, Dr. Stanimir
Deposited On:27 Aug 2007
Last Modified:15 Jan 2010 01:35

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