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Informer deep learning forecasting for high-speed aeroelastics

Drikakis, Dimitris and Kokkinakis, Ioannis William and Fung, Daryl and Spottswood, S. Michael and Brouwer, Kirk and Riley, Zachary and Daub, Dennis and Gülhan, Ali (2026) Informer deep learning forecasting for high-speed aeroelastics. Aerospace Science and Technology, 171 (111547). Elsevier. doi: 10.1016/j.ast.2025.111547. ISSN 1270-9638.

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Official URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1270963825016116

Abstract

This paper examines the suitability and limitations of the Informer deep-learning architecture for forecasting aeroelastic response in high-speed shock-wave/turbulent boundary-layer interaction (SBLI). Dynamic displacement measurements of a thin, compliant panel were obtained in the H2K hypersonic wind tunnel at Mach 5.3 for several cavity-pressure configurations. The Informer, which employs ProbSparse self-attention for long-sequence time-series forecasting, was trained on displacement time histories from a subset of cases and used to predict unobserved scenarios. We systematically varied the forecast horizon (256-768 samples) and data sparsity (1200-4000) and evaluated performance using the normalised root-mean-square error. The model achieved low error (minimum NRMSE 0.19) only for carefully tuned combinations of step size and sparsity, while many other configurations yielded NRMSE values of O(0.5-1) and exhibited systematic under- or overestimation. In particular, the Informer tended to underestimate displacement following recent sharp decays and to overestimate signals that contained an initial near-steady phase. These behaviours reveal a strong sensitivity to hyperparameters and difficulty in capturing the non-stationary, thermally buckled, shock-induced dynamics of the panel. The results indicate that, in its standard form, the Informer is not robust enough to serve as a stand-alone predictor for aeroelastic design. Still, it provides a valuable diagnostic benchmark for long-sequence attention models in hypersonic fluid-structure interaction. The study highlights the need for adaptive or hybrid architectures and suggests future applications in virtual sensing and safety monitoring for high-cost hypersonic testing.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/221814/
Document Type:Article
Title:Informer deep learning forecasting for high-speed aeroelastics
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iDORCID Put Code
Drikakis, DimitrisInstitute for Advanced Modelling and Simulation, University of NicosiaUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Kokkinakis, Ioannis WilliamInstitute for Advanced Modelling and Simulation, University of NicosiaUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Fung, DarylInstitute for Advanced Modelling and Simulation, University of NicosiaUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Spottswood, S. MichaelAFRL Structural Sciences CenterUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Brouwer, KirkAFRL Structural Sciences CenterUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Riley, ZacharyAFRL Structural Sciences CenterUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Daub, DennisDennis.Daub (at) dlr.dehttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6030-698XUNSPECIFIED
Gülhan, Aliali.guelhan (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Date:April 2026
Journal or Publication Title:Aerospace Science and Technology
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:No
Gold Open Access:No
In SCOPUS:Yes
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
Volume:171
DOI:10.1016/j.ast.2025.111547
Publisher:Elsevier
ISSN:1270-9638
Status:Published
Keywords:Deep learning Fluid-structure interaction FSI Aeroelasticity Informer Hypersonic Forecast
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Space
HGF - Program Themes:other
DLR - Research area:Raumfahrt
DLR - Program:R - no assignment
DLR - Research theme (Project):R - no assignment, L - no assignment
Location: Köln-Porz
Institutes and Institutions:Institute for Aerodynamics and Flow Technology > Supersonic and Hypersonic Technology
Deposited By: Daub, Dennis
Deposited On:12 May 2026 12:25
Last Modified:12 May 2026 12:25

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