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Sensitivity Analysis of Aerial Wildfire Fighting Tactics with Heterogeneous Fleets Using an Agent Based Simulation Framework

Cigal, Nazlican (2023) Sensitivity Analysis of Aerial Wildfire Fighting Tactics with Heterogeneous Fleets Using an Agent Based Simulation Framework. DLR-Interner Bericht. DLR-IB-SL-HF-2023-80. Master's. Middle East Technical University. 97 S.

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Abstract

The increase in the average temperature of the global surface temperature caused longer wildfire seasons, which have caused more severe and frequent incidents, resulting in higher expenses, unrecoverable losses and civilian casualties. Moreover, the increased number of wildfires has contributed to higher levels of carbon in the atmosphere, further exacerbating global warming. Fighting wildfires is a complex phenomenon that requires various resources, and the System of Systems (SoS) approach can be leveraged to analyze the problem. This study utilizes an SoS simulation framework to model wildfire suppression missions, focusing on a mixed fleet composition of suppression drones with different characteristics such as airframe configurations, payload capacity, flight velocity, and powertrain architectures. The study evaluates multiple suppression tactics, considering factors such as fleet composition, available agents, and resources. The results of the analysis show the impact of various environmental parameters on fire growth and provide a rigorous sensitivity analysis for wildfire containment use cases. The use of the SoS framework helps to reveal nuanced patterns at the SoS level, which can aid in the development of new solutions for wildfire fighting. This study highlights the importance of considering the complexities of the problem and the need for innovative approaches to combat wildfires effectively.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/196143/
Document Type:Monograph (DLR-Interner Bericht, Master's)
Title:Sensitivity Analysis of Aerial Wildfire Fighting Tactics with Heterogeneous Fleets Using an Agent Based Simulation Framework
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iDORCID Put Code
Cigal, NazlicanUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6988-6175UNSPECIFIED
Date:31 May 2023
Refereed publication:No
Open Access:Yes
Number of Pages:97
Editors:
EditorsEmailEditor's ORCID iDORCID Put Code
Cigal, NazlicanUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6988-6175UNSPECIFIED
Status:Published
Keywords:Aerial Firefighting, Agent-Based Simulation, Wildfire Suppression Tactics, System of Systems
Institution:Middle East Technical University
Department:Department of Aerospace Engineering
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Aeronautics
HGF - Program Themes:Efficient Vehicle
DLR - Research area:Aeronautics
DLR - Program:L EV - Efficient Vehicle
DLR - Research theme (Project):L - Aircraft Technologies and Integration
Location: Hamburg
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of System Architectures in Aeronautics
Deposited By: Cigal, Nazlican
Deposited On:31 Jul 2023 06:55
Last Modified:14 Aug 2023 07:08

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