Forecasting Solar Irradiance by looking at clouds from above and below

Abstract

The energy meteorology measurement network Eye2Sky is a cloud monitoring system covering roughly 110x100 km in north-west Germany. It is equipped with 38 cloud cameras, solar radiation measurement stations and individual Lidar based cloud altitude measurements distributed throughout the region around Oldenburg. The system collects high-resolution information on solar radiation, tracks the variability at different locations and outputs forecasts for very short time scales. It covers a resolution range of fewer than 100 metres and less than 1 minute and supports forecasts of up to one hour (depending on the prevailing cloud height). A second data source for this region is given by images from the geostationary satellite MSG. With these images longer forecast horizons are achieved in a coarser resolution. The hybrid use of both data sources has only just begun in the community. This allows the development of new models with an improved quality of predictions.