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Sensitivity analysis of aerial wildfire fighting tactics with heterogeneous fleets using a system of systems simulation framework

Cigal, Nazlican and Naeem, Nabih and Ratei, Patrick and Kilkis, San and Shiva Prakasha, Prajwal and Nagel, Björn and Kurtulus, Dilek Funda (2022) Sensitivity analysis of aerial wildfire fighting tactics with heterogeneous fleets using a system of systems simulation framework. DLRK 2022, 2022-09-27 - 2022-09-29, Dresden, Germany.

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The rise in the average global surface temperature has caused wildfire seasons to expand leading to more incidents with severe intensities causing a significant increase in suppression expenditures, losses, and casualties. In addition, the larger number of wildfire incidents gives rise to higher carbon release that stays in the atmosphere, therefore, further intensifying global warming. Fire incidents vary substantially in complexity from the point of view of required and available firefighting means which makes for a challenging multi-level complex problem. System of Systems (SoS) approach can be used to investigate such problems taking into accounts various factors such as response time, firefighting tactics, fleet composition, available agents, and resources. This study uses a SoS simulation framework for overall wildfire suppression mission modeling. It builds upon the research previously performed by the authors by introducing: 1. An extensive analysis for the effect of wildfire environment parameters on fire spread. 2. Multiple suppression tactics which open the door to new solutions for wildfire fighting in addition to revealing nuanced trends at the system of systems level by using SoS framework. 3. A heterogeneous fleet composed of various suppression drones with different airframe configurations, payload capacity, flight velocity, and powertrain architecture.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/189442/
Document Type:Conference or Workshop Item (Lecture)
Title:Sensitivity analysis of aerial wildfire fighting tactics with heterogeneous fleets using a system of systems simulation framework
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iDORCID Put Code
Cigal, NazlicanUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6988-6175UNSPECIFIED
Naeem, NabihUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-3144-3045UNSPECIFIED
Ratei, PatrickUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-5161-8025UNSPECIFIED
Kilkis, SanInstitute of System Architectures in Aeronauticshttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-8811-8315UNSPECIFIED
Shiva Prakasha, PrajwalUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-5694-5538UNSPECIFIED
Nagel, BjörnUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8076-9853UNSPECIFIED
Kurtulus, Dilek FundaAerospace Engineering Department, METUhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0678-9474UNSPECIFIED
Date:27 September 2022
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:No
In ISI Web of Science:No
Keywords:Wildfire Suppression Tactics; Aerial Firefighting; Agent-Based Simulation; System of Systems
Event Title:DLRK 2022
Event Location:Dresden, Germany
Event Type:national Conference
Event Start Date:27 September 2022
Event End Date:29 September 2022
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Aeronautics
HGF - Program Themes:Components and Systems
DLR - Research area:Aeronautics
DLR - Program:L CS - Components and Systems
DLR - Research theme (Project):L - Aircraft Systems, L - Air Transport Operations and Impact Assessment, L - Aircraft Technologies and Integration
Location: Hamburg
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of System Architectures in Aeronautics
Deposited By: Cigal, Nazlican
Deposited On:01 Nov 2022 08:22
Last Modified:24 Apr 2024 20:50

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