Stappert, Sven und Wilken, Jascha und Calabuig, Guillermo Joaquin Dominguez und Sippel, Martin (2022) Evaluation of Parametric Cost Estimation in the Preliminary Design Phase of Reusable Launch Vehicles. In: 9th Conference on Aeronautics and Space Sciences (EUCASS), 2022. 9th European Conference on Aeronautics on Space Sciences (EUCASS), 2022-06-27 - 2022-07-01, Lille, Frankreich.
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Kurzfassung
Reusability for space transportation vehicles offers the potential to lower launch costs, thus enabling low-cost and frequent access to space. Nevertheless, estimating the costs of such an RLV, although being the main driver for the economic success of such a vehicle, is a highly uncertain and unreliable task. For this paper, the well-known cost estimation tool Transcost was critically investigated in terms of its applicability to determine development costs of RLVs. In the course of this investigation new cost estimation relationships for ELV and RLV stages were determined. This analysis was complemented by an estimation of the development cost for the Falcon 9 by reverse-engineering methods. Furthermore, a statistical approach using uncertainties to determine probabilities for final costs is examined. Finally, a cost estimation method for recovery costs was established. The purpose of this investigation is to pave the way for a more thorough understanding of potential and limits of cost estimation in the preliminary design phase of RLVs.
elib-URL des Eintrags: | https://elib.dlr.de/187238/ | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Dokumentart: | Konferenzbeitrag (Vortrag) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Titel: | Evaluation of Parametric Cost Estimation in the Preliminary Design Phase of Reusable Launch Vehicles | ||||||||||||||||||||
Autoren: |
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Datum: | Juli 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Erschienen in: | 9th Conference on Aeronautics and Space Sciences (EUCASS), 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Referierte Publikation: | Nein | ||||||||||||||||||||
Open Access: | Ja | ||||||||||||||||||||
Gold Open Access: | Nein | ||||||||||||||||||||
In SCOPUS: | Nein | ||||||||||||||||||||
In ISI Web of Science: | Nein | ||||||||||||||||||||
Status: | veröffentlicht | ||||||||||||||||||||
Stichwörter: | Reusability, Cost, Transcost, RLV | ||||||||||||||||||||
Veranstaltungstitel: | 9th European Conference on Aeronautics on Space Sciences (EUCASS) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Veranstaltungsort: | Lille, Frankreich | ||||||||||||||||||||
Veranstaltungsart: | internationale Konferenz | ||||||||||||||||||||
Veranstaltungsbeginn: | 27 Juni 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Veranstaltungsende: | 1 Juli 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Veranstalter : | 3AF | ||||||||||||||||||||
HGF - Forschungsbereich: | Luftfahrt, Raumfahrt und Verkehr | ||||||||||||||||||||
HGF - Programm: | Raumfahrt | ||||||||||||||||||||
HGF - Programmthema: | Raumtransport | ||||||||||||||||||||
DLR - Schwerpunkt: | Raumfahrt | ||||||||||||||||||||
DLR - Forschungsgebiet: | R RP - Raumtransport | ||||||||||||||||||||
DLR - Teilgebiet (Projekt, Vorhaben): | R - Systemanalyse Raumtransport (SART) [RP] | ||||||||||||||||||||
Standort: | Bremen | ||||||||||||||||||||
Institute & Einrichtungen: | Institut für Raumfahrtsysteme > Systemanalyse Raumtransport | ||||||||||||||||||||
Hinterlegt von: | Stappert, Sven | ||||||||||||||||||||
Hinterlegt am: | 11 Jul 2022 09:32 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Letzte Änderung: | 24 Apr 2024 20:48 |
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