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Anvari, Mehrnaz and Proedrou, Elisavet and Schaefer, Benjamin and Beck, Christian and Kantz, Holger and Timme, Marc (2022) Data-Driven Load Profiles and the Dynamics of Residential Electric Power Consumption. Nature Communications, 13 (4593). Nature Publishing Group. doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-31942-9. ISSN 2041-1723.
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Official URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-31942-9
Abstract
The dynamics of power consumption constitutes an essential building block for planning and operating sustainable energy systems. Whereas variations in the dynamics of renewable energy generation are reasonably well studied, a deeper understanding of the variations in consumption dynamics is still missing. Here, we analyse highly resolved residential electricity consumption data of Austrian, German and UK households and propose a generally applicable data-driven load model. Specifically, we disentangle the average demand profiles from the demand fluctuations based purely on time series data. We introduce a stochastic model to quantitatively capture the highly intermittent demand fluctuations. Thereby, we offer a better understanding of demand dynamics, in particular its fluctuations, and provide general tools for disentangling mean demand and fluctuations for any given system, going beyond the standard load profile (SLP). Our insights on the demand dynamics may support planning and operating future-compliant (micro) grids in maintaining supply-demand balance.
| Item URL in elib: | https://elib.dlr.de/185940/ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Document Type: | Article | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Title: | Data-Driven Load Profiles and the Dynamics of Residential Electric Power Consumption | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Authors: |
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| Date: | 6 August 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Nature Communications | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Refereed publication: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Open Access: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gold Open Access: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| In SCOPUS: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| In ISI Web of Science: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Volume: | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DOI: | 10.1038/s41467-022-31942-9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Publisher: | Nature Publishing Group | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ISSN: | 2041-1723 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Status: | Published | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Keywords: | load profile, residential load, load modelling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Research field: | Energy | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Program: | Energy System Design | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Program Themes: | Energy System Transformation | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Research area: | Energy | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Program: | E SY - Energy System Technology and Analysis | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Research theme (Project): | E - Systems Analysis and Technology Assessment | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Location: | Oldenburg | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Institutes and Institutions: | Institute of Networked Energy Systems > Energy Systems Analysis, OL | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Deposited By: | Medjroubi, Dr Wided | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Deposited On: | 15 Aug 2022 08:58 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Modified: | 22 Aug 2022 08:44 |
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