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Traffic Emissions 2040 - Impact on Air Quality in Germany

Matthias, Volker and Bieser, Johannes and Quante, Markus and Seum, Stefan and Winkler, Christian (2021) Traffic Emissions 2040 - Impact on Air Quality in Germany. Springer Science and Business Media B.V.. 37th International Technical Meeting on Air Pollution Modeling and its Application, 23.-27. Sep. 2019, Hamburg, Deutschland. doi: 10.1007/978-3-662-63760-9_6. ISBN 978-366263759-3. ISSN 22138684.

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Abstract

Traffic emissions in Central Europe were calculated for today and for future scenarios in 2040. For Germany, a sophisticated multi-model chain including transport models, fleet composition models and an up-to-date set of emission factors was embedded. The relationship between transport demand and emissions for several road types has then been applied to other Central European countries for calculating transport demand from total road traffic emissions in these countries. This allows for the construction of consistent and detailed future scenarios for 2040, taking into account modified transport demand and fleet composition. Three emission scenarios were modelled with the full model chain based on societal and legislative developments that are both, plausible and consistent. The traffic emission data was then, together with emissions for all other relevant sectors, fed into the CMAQ chemistry transport model. Concentrations of NO2, O3 and PM2.5 have been calculated for summer and winter in the year 2010 and for three emission scenarios for 2040. All scenarios revealed an emission reduction in the order of 75–80% for NOx in 2040 compared to 2010. NO2 concentrations caused by traffic emissions were reduced accordingly. Their contribution to overall NO2 concentrations in Central Europe was halved in 2040.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/147296/
Document Type:Conference or Workshop Item (Speech)
Title:Traffic Emissions 2040 - Impact on Air Quality in Germany
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iD
Matthias, VolkerHelmholtz-Zentrum HereonUNSPECIFIED
Bieser, JohannesHelmholtz-Zentrum HereonUNSPECIFIED
Quante, MarkusHelmholtz-Zentrum HereonUNSPECIFIED
Seum, StefanStefan.Seum (at) dlr.dehttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9396-0128
Winkler, ChristianChristian.Winkler (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Date:2021
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:No
Gold Open Access:No
In SCOPUS:No
In ISI Web of Science:No
DOI :10.1007/978-3-662-63760-9_6
Page Range:pp. 39-44
Editors:
EditorsEmailEditor's ORCID iD
Mensink, ClemensUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Matthias, VolkerHelmholtz-Zentrum HereonUNSPECIFIED
Publisher:Springer Science and Business Media B.V.
Series Name:Springer Proceedings in Complexity
ISSN:22138684
ISBN:978-366263759-3
Status:Published
Keywords:Future scenarios; Nitrogen dioxide concentrations; Traffic emissions
Event Title:37th International Technical Meeting on Air Pollution Modeling and its Application
Event Location:Hamburg, Deutschland
Event Type:international Conference
Event Dates:23.-27. Sep. 2019
Organizer:The International Technical Meeting on Air Pollution Modelling and its Applications (ITM)
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Transport
HGF - Program Themes:Transport System
DLR - Research area:Transport
DLR - Program:V VS - Verkehrssystem
DLR - Research theme (Project):V - Transport und Klima
Location: Berlin-Adlershof
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Transport Research > Passenger Transport
Institute of Transport Research > Leitungsbereich VF
Deposited By: Winkler, Dr.-Ing. Christian
Deposited On:17 Dec 2021 22:43
Last Modified:17 Dec 2021 22:43

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