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Scenario Analysis of Threats Posed to Critical Infrastructures by Civilian Drones

Schneider, Moritz and Lichte, Daniel and Witte, Dustin and Gimbel, Stephan and Brucherseifer, Eva (2021) Scenario Analysis of Threats Posed to Critical Infrastructures by Civilian Drones. In: Proceedings of the 31st European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2021), pp. 520-527. Research Publishing Services. Proceedings of the 31st European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2021), Angers, Frankreich. ISBN 978-981-18-2016-8.

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Abstract

Threats posed by civilian drones are becoming an increasing security risk for critical infrastructures as well as eventsor companies. In order to protect an asset against a drone intrusion a security system is necessary, which in general isdescribed by its capabilities of protection, detection, and intervention. The variety of different threat scenarios posedby drones raises the need for detailed analysis of scenario specific requirements on detection systems. However,there is a lack of comprehensive scenario analyses in the literature that include relevant parameters for detection.Thus, in this paper a scenario analysis is conducted to identify consistent threat scenarios including factors criticalfor drone detection. The study is based on morphological analysis and applies methods of influence analysis andCross-Impact Balance analysis. Using these methods, factors that influence the detectability of drones are specifiedand key factors identified. Potential states of these key factors are determined based on literature reviews or expertinterviews. For the assessment of internal consistency of a scenario, a Cross-Impact-Balance analysis is conducted.Exemplarily, the paper shows how a remaining consistent scenario can be applied to derive requirements for a dronedetection system or to validate existing systems regarding suitability for feasible threat scenarios.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/147231/
Document Type:Conference or Workshop Item (Speech)
Title:Scenario Analysis of Threats Posed to Critical Infrastructures by Civilian Drones
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iD
Schneider, Moritzmoritz.schneider (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Lichte, DanielDaniel.Lichte (at) dlr.dehttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3314-5823
Witte, DustinBergische Universität WuppertalUNSPECIFIED
Gimbel, StephanHochschule DarmstadtUNSPECIFIED
Brucherseifer, EvaEva.Brucherseifer (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Date:2021
Journal or Publication Title:Proceedings of the 31st European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2021)
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:No
In SCOPUS:No
In ISI Web of Science:No
Page Range:pp. 520-527
Publisher:Research Publishing Services
ISBN:978-981-18-2016-8
Status:Published
Keywords:Critical Infrastructure Protection, Security, Civilian Drones, Scenario Analysis, Morphological Analysis,Cross-Impact Analysis, UAV, Requirements Analysis, Drone Detection System
Event Title:Proceedings of the 31st European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2021)
Event Location:Angers, Frankreich
Event Type:international Conference
HGF - Research field:other
HGF - Program:other
HGF - Program Themes:other
DLR - Research area:no assignment
DLR - Program:no assignment
DLR - Research theme (Project):no assignment
Location: Rhein-Sieg-Kreis
Institutes and Institutions:Institute for the Protection of Terrestrial Infrastructures > Resilience – Models and Methods
Institute for the Protection of Terrestrial Infrastructures > Digital Twins of Infrastructures
Deposited By: Lichte, Dr.-Ing. Daniel
Deposited On:13 Dec 2021 13:19
Last Modified:13 Dec 2021 13:19

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