Teske, Sven und Pregger, Thomas und Simon, Sonja und Naegler, Tobias und Pagenkopf, Johannes und Deniz, Özcan und van den Adel, Bent und Dooley, Kate und Meinshausen, Malte (2021) It Is Still Possible to Achieve the Paris Climate Agreement: Regional, Sectoral, and Land-Use Pathways. Energies, 14 (8), Seite 2103. Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI). doi: 10.3390/en14082103. ISSN 1996-1073.
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Offizielle URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/8/2103?type=check_update&version=1
Kurzfassung
It is still possible to comply with the Paris Climate Agreement to maintain a global temperature ‘well below +2.0 °C’ above pre-industrial levels. We present two global non-overshoot pathways (+2.0 °C and +1.5 °C) with regional decarbonization targets for the four primary energy sectors—power, heating, transportation, and industry—in 5-year steps to 2050. We use normative scenarios to illustrate the effects of efficiency measures and renewable energy use, describe the roles of increased electrification of the final energy demand and synthetic fuels, and quantify the resulting electricity load increases for 72 sub-regions. Non-energy scenarios include a phase-out of net emissions from agriculture, forestry, and other land uses, reductions in non-carbon greenhouse gases, and land restoration to scale up atmospheric CO2 removal, estimated at −377 Gt CO2 to 2100. An estimate of the COVID-19 effects on the global energy demand is included and a sensitivity analysis describes the impacts if implementation is delayed by 5, 7, or 10 years, which would significantly reduce the likelihood of achieving the 1.5 °C goal. The analysis applies a model network consisting of energy system, power system, transport, land-use, and climate models
elib-URL des Eintrags: | https://elib.dlr.de/142923/ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Dokumentart: | Zeitschriftenbeitrag | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Titel: | It Is Still Possible to Achieve the Paris Climate Agreement: Regional, Sectoral, and Land-Use Pathways | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Autoren: |
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Datum: | 9 April 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Erschienen in: | Energies | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Referierte Publikation: | Ja | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Open Access: | Ja | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gold Open Access: | Ja | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
In SCOPUS: | Ja | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
In ISI Web of Science: | Ja | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Band: | 14 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DOI: | 10.3390/en14082103 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Seitenbereich: | Seite 2103 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Verlag: | Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ISSN: | 1996-1073 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Status: | veröffentlicht | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Stichwörter: | climate change; Paris Agreement; 100% renewable energy; 1.5 °C mitigation pathway; energy transition; energy scenario; GHG mitigation; CO2 emission; non-energy emission; open access book | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
HGF - Forschungsbereich: | Energie | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
HGF - Programm: | Energiesystemdesign | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
HGF - Programmthema: | Energiesystemtransformation | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DLR - Schwerpunkt: | Energie | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DLR - Forschungsgebiet: | E SY - Energiesystemtechnologie und -analyse | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DLR - Teilgebiet (Projekt, Vorhaben): | E - Systemanalyse und Technologiebewertung | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Standort: | Stuttgart | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Institute & Einrichtungen: | Institut für Vernetzte Energiesysteme > Energiesystemanalyse, ST Institut für Fahrzeugkonzepte > Fahrzeugsysteme und Technologiebewertung | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hinterlegt von: | Simon, Dr. Sonja | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hinterlegt am: | 12 Jul 2021 10:22 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Letzte Änderung: | 05 Dez 2023 09:33 |
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