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Impact of political measures on passenger and freight transport demand in Germany

Winkler, Christian und Mocanu, Tudor (2020) Impact of political measures on passenger and freight transport demand in Germany. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment (87). Elsevier. doi: 10.1016/j.trd.2020.102476. ISSN 1361-9209.

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Offizielle URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1361920920306635?via%3Dihub

Kurzfassung

In this paper we present the findings from the “Transport and Environment” (VEU) project related to the evelopment of transport demand in Germany in three scenarios up to the year 2040. The results were obtained using the German national transport model DEMO, a complex model landscape covering all areas of transport (both passenger and freight), trip purposes and modes. The main findings are expressed in terms of number of trips, mode shares and distance travelled by mode. The results show that it is possible to push the transport sector toward a more sustainable state if comprehensive policy measures are established to reduce road transport and make other modes of transport more attractive. In the Regulated Shift scenario, the distance travelled on the road is 20% lower for passenger transport and 4% lower for freight transport compared to the Reference scenario. However, our results also indicate that road transport will still be the backbone of the future transport system in all scenarios, meaning that the mitigation of the environmental effects is only possible in combination with technological developments of road-based transport systems.

elib-URL des Eintrags:https://elib.dlr.de/141779/
Dokumentart:Zeitschriftenbeitrag
Titel:Impact of political measures on passenger and freight transport demand in Germany
Autoren:
AutorenInstitution oder E-Mail-AdresseAutoren-ORCID-iDORCID Put Code
Winkler, ChristianChristian.Winkler (at) dlr.deNICHT SPEZIFIZIERTNICHT SPEZIFIZIERT
Mocanu, TudorTudor.Mocanu (at) dlr.dehttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-2883-0121NICHT SPEZIFIZIERT
Datum:7 August 2020
Erschienen in:Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment
Referierte Publikation:Ja
Open Access:Nein
Gold Open Access:Nein
In SCOPUS:Ja
In ISI Web of Science:Ja
DOI:10.1016/j.trd.2020.102476
Verlag:Elsevier
ISSN:1361-9209
Status:veröffentlicht
Stichwörter:Transport model, Scenario analysis, Passenger transport demand, Freight transport demand,
HGF - Forschungsbereich:Luftfahrt, Raumfahrt und Verkehr
HGF - Programm:Verkehr
HGF - Programmthema:Verkehrssystem
DLR - Schwerpunkt:Verkehr
DLR - Forschungsgebiet:V VS - Verkehrssystem
DLR - Teilgebiet (Projekt, Vorhaben):V - Transport und Klima (alt)
Standort: Berlin-Adlershof
Institute & Einrichtungen:Institut für Verkehrsforschung > Personenverkehr
Hinterlegt von: Winkler, Dr.-Ing. Christian
Hinterlegt am:14 Apr 2021 09:55
Letzte Änderung:24 Okt 2023 10:47

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