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How will the introduction of automated vehicles impact private car ownership?

Galich, Anton and Stark, Kerstin (2021) How will the introduction of automated vehicles impact private car ownership? Case Studies on Transport Policy. Elsevier. doi: 10.1016/j.cstp.2021.02.012. ISSN 2213-624X.

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Official URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2213624X21000328


Private car ownership provides the foundation for the current dominance of the car in the modal split of many cities, regions and countries. A private car is seen by many as the fastest, safest and most comfortable means of transportation. Hence private car ownership is further increasing in both the emerging markets of development countries as well as in the saturated markets of industrial nations. Yet, the increasing number of cars leads to negative consequences such as more congestion, pollution, and inefficient land use so that many cities all around the world have introduced different measures to reduce the use and ownership of private cars. This paper explores whether the introduction of automated vehicles can help to reduce private car ownership through new mobility services or whether it will make the ownership of a private car even more attractive and thus further increase sales. The data basis is comprised of several focus group discussions with residents from different spatial regions of Berlin and its surroundings and different sociodemographic backgrounds. Our results indicate that the automation of vehicles could make the possession of a private car even more attractive to current car owners and also contribute to the emergence of completely new groups of car owners. However, our findings also point out how the particular features of both automated private cars as well as new mobility services enabled through automated vehicles could lead to a reduction in private car ownership. In fact, whether the introduction of automated vehicles and new mobility services leads to an increase or a reduction in private car ownership seems to depend heavily on the concrete implementation. This suggests that there is plenty of room for car manufacturers, ride-sharing operators, and policy-makers at local, regional and state-level to shape the implementation into a direction beneficial for society.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/141737/
Document Type:Article
Title:How will the introduction of automated vehicles impact private car ownership?
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iDORCID Put Code
Galich, AntonUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6556-6705UNSPECIFIED
Stark, KerstinUNSPECIFIEDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1129-9015UNSPECIFIED
Date:2 March 2021
Journal or Publication Title:Case Studies on Transport Policy
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:No
Gold Open Access:No
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
Keywords:Automation, Car ownership, New mobility services
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Transport
HGF - Program Themes:Transport System
DLR - Research area:Transport
DLR - Program:V VS - Verkehrssystem
DLR - Research theme (Project):V - Zukunftsbilder eines automatisierten integrierten Verkehrssystems (old)
Location: Berlin-Adlershof
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Transport Research
Deposited By: Galich, Dr. Anton
Deposited On:13 Apr 2021 15:40
Last Modified:23 Oct 2023 07:56

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