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Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6

Tebaldi, Claudia and Debeire, Kevin and Eyring, Veronika and Fischer, Erich M. and Fyfe, John and Friedlingstein, Pierre and Knutti, Reto and Lowe, Jason and O'Neill, Brian and Sanderson, Benjamin and van Vuuren, Detlef and Riahi, Keywan and Meinshausen, Malte and Nicholls, Zebedee and Tokarska, Katarzyna and Hurtt, George and Kriegler, Elmar and Lamarque, Jean-Francois and Meehl, Gerald A. and Moss, Richard and Bauer, Susanne and Boucher, Olivier and Brovkin, Victor and Byun, Yung Hwa and Dix, Martin and Gualdi, Silvio and Guo, Huan and John, Jasmin and Kharin, Slava and Kim, YoungHo and Koshiro, Tsuyoshi and Ma, Libin and Olivie, Dirk and Panickal, Swapna and Qiao, Fangli and Rong, Xinyao and Rosenbloom, Nan and Schupfner, Martin and Séférian, Roland and Sellar, Alistair and Semmler, Tido and Shi, Xiaoying and Song, Zhenya and Steger, Christian and Stouffer, Ronald J. and Swart, Neil and Tachiiri, Kaoru and Tang, Qi and Tatebe, Hiroaki and Voldoire, A. and Volodin, E.M. and Wyser, Klaus and Xin, Xiaoge and Yang, Shuting and Yu, Yongqiang and Ziehn, Tilo (2021) Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6. Earth System Dynamics. Copernicus Publications. doi: 10.5194/esd-12-253-2021. ISSN 2190-4979.

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Official URL: https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/253/2021/esd-12-253-2021.html

Abstract

The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) defines and coordinates the main set of future climate projections, based on concentration-driven simulations, within the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6). This paper presents a range of its outcomes by synthesizing results from the participating global coupled Earth system models.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/141325/
Document Type:Article
Title:Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iD
Tebaldi, ClaudiaJGCRI, MD, USAUNSPECIFIED
Debeire, KevinDLR, IPAUNSPECIFIED
Eyring, VeronikaDLR, IPAhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6887-4885
Fischer, Erich M.ETH, Zürich, SchweizUNSPECIFIED
Fyfe, JohnCanadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Ynalysis, Environment and Climate ChangeUNSPECIFIED
Friedlingstein, PierreUniv. of Exeter, UKUNSPECIFIED
Knutti, RetoETH Zürich, CHUNSPECIFIED
Lowe, JasonMetOffice, UKUNSPECIFIED
O'Neill, BrianJosef Korbel School of International Studies, Denver; USAUNSPECIFIED
Sanderson, BenjaminCNRS, Toulouse, FranceUNSPECIFIED
van Vuuren, DetlefPBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency and Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht UniversityUNSPECIFIED
Riahi, KeywanIIASA, Laxenburg, AUNSPECIFIED
Meinshausen, MalteUniversity of MelbourneUNSPECIFIED
Nicholls, ZebedeeClimate & Energy College, University of MelbourneUNSPECIFIED
Tokarska, KatarzynaETH ZürichUNSPECIFIED
Hurtt, GeorgeUniversity of Maryland, USAUNSPECIFIED
Kriegler, ElmarPIK, PotsdamUNSPECIFIED
Lamarque, Jean-FrancoisNational Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Atmospheric Chemistry Observations and Modeling (ACOM) Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado, USAhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-4225-5074
Meehl, Gerald A.NCAR, Boulder, CO, USAUNSPECIFIED
Moss, RichardJoint Global Change Research Institute, University of Maryland, College ParkUNSPECIFIED
Bauer, SusanneNASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, USAUNSPECIFIED
Boucher, OlivierIPSL, Université Pierre et Marie Curie/CNRS, Paris, FUNSPECIFIED
Brovkin, VictorMax Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, GermanyUNSPECIFIED
Byun, Yung HwaKonkuk University, Seoul, South KoreaUNSPECIFIED
Dix, MartinCSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Aspendale, AustraliaUNSPECIFIED
Gualdi, SilvioCMCC, Bologna, ItalyUNSPECIFIED
Guo, HuanNOAA, Princeton, USAUNSPECIFIED
John, JasminNOAA, Princeton, USAUNSPECIFIED
Kharin, SlavaCanadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Ynalysis, Environment and Climate ChangeUNSPECIFIED
Kim, YoungHoOcean Circulation & Climate Change Research Center, Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology, Busan, South KoreaUNSPECIFIED
Koshiro, TsuyoshiMeteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, JapanUNSPECIFIED
Ma, LibinEarth System Modeling Center, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Jiangsu, ChinaUNSPECIFIED
Olivie, DirkNorwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, NorwayUNSPECIFIED
Panickal, SwapnaIndian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, IndiaUNSPECIFIED
Qiao, FangliMNR, Qingdao, ChinaUNSPECIFIED
Rong, XinyaoState Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, ChinaUNSPECIFIED
Rosenbloom, NanClimate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USAUNSPECIFIED
Schupfner, MartinDeutsches Klimarechenzentrum, Hamburg, GermanyUNSPECIFIED
Séférian, RolandAlfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, GermanyUNSPECIFIED
Sellar, AlistairMet Office, Exeter, UKUNSPECIFIED
Semmler, TidoAlfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, GermanyUNSPECIFIED
Shi, XiaoyingOak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, USAUNSPECIFIED
Song, ZhenyaMNR, Qingdao, ChinaUNSPECIFIED
Steger, ChristianDWD, OffenbachUNSPECIFIED
Stouffer, Ronald J.Univ. of Arizona, Tucson USAUNSPECIFIED
Swart, NeilECCC, Toronto, CanadaUNSPECIFIED
Tachiiri, KaoruJAMSTEC, Yokohama, JapanUNSPECIFIED
Tang, QiLawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, USAUNSPECIFIED
Tatebe, HiroakiJAMSTEC, Yokohama, JapanUNSPECIFIED
Voldoire, A.Météo-France, Toulouse, FUNSPECIFIED
Volodin, E.M.Marchuk Institute of Numerical Mathematics, RussiaUNSPECIFIED
Wyser, KlausSMHI, SwedenUNSPECIFIED
Xin, XiaogeBeijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, ChinaUNSPECIFIED
Yang, ShutingDanish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, DenmarkUNSPECIFIED
Yu, YongqiangLASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, ChinaUNSPECIFIED
Ziehn, TiloCSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Aspendale, Victoria, AustraliaUNSPECIFIED
Date:March 2021
Journal or Publication Title:Earth System Dynamics
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:Yes
In SCOPUS:Yes
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
DOI :10.5194/esd-12-253-2021
Publisher:Copernicus Publications
ISSN:2190-4979
Status:Published
Keywords:Climate model projections, CMIP6,
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Space
HGF - Program Themes:Earth Observation
DLR - Research area:Raumfahrt
DLR - Program:R EO - Earth Observation
DLR - Research theme (Project):R - Atmospheric and climate research
Location: Oberpfaffenhofen
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Atmospheric Physics > Earth System Model Evaluation and Analysis
Deposited By: Langer, Michaela
Deposited On:15 Mar 2021 15:29
Last Modified:29 Mar 2021 15:34

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