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Estimating the market potential for long-haul narrowbody aircraft using origin-destination demand and flight schedules data

Grimme, Wolfgang and Maertens, Sven and Bingemer, Stephan and Gelhausen, Marc (2021) Estimating the market potential for long-haul narrowbody aircraft using origin-destination demand and flight schedules data. Transportation Research Procedia, 52, pp. 412-419. Elsevier. doi: 10.1016/j.trpro.2021.01.048. ISSN 2352-1457.

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Official URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352146521000892

Abstract

Air transport has constantly evolved over the past decades. Main drivers affecting the shape of supply were new, e.g. low cost, business models, and new aircraft technologies, like the emergence of jet airliners in the 1950s/1960s. One of the most recent and potentially highly disrupting developments was the announcement by Airbus in 2015 and 2018 to launch new long-range (LR) and extra long-range (XLR) versions of its largest narrowbody aircraft, A321neo. With this step, Airbus is tapping into a market which is covered insufficiently by existing aircraft types. The new Airbus A321 versions will be used to replace the aging fleet of Boeing 757 aircraft, but will also offer airlines the opportunity to serve thin long-haul routes. Airlines may offer a higher number of frequencies than with today’s widebody aircraft or introduce completely new non-stop services, where existing types are either limited in range or have too many seats. We estimate the market potential for long-haul narrowbody aircraft with a model using Sabre’s Market Intelligence origin-destination demand and Innovata’s flight schedules data. Furthermore, the implications of the new long-range narrowbody aircraft for airline business models will be discussed.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/140760/
Document Type:Article
Title:Estimating the market potential for long-haul narrowbody aircraft using origin-destination demand and flight schedules data
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iD
Grimme, Wolfgangwolfgang.grimme (at) dlr.dehttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8498-6281
Maertens, SvenSven.Maertens (at) dlr.dehttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-4618-0946
Bingemer, StephanHochschule Heilbronnhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6303-2654
Gelhausen, Marcmarc.gelhausen (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Date:January 2021
Journal or Publication Title:Transportation Research Procedia
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:No
In SCOPUS:Yes
In ISI Web of Science:No
Volume:52
DOI :10.1016/j.trpro.2021.01.048
Page Range:pp. 412-419
Publisher:Elsevier
ISSN:2352-1457
Status:Published
Keywords:Connectivity; long-haul air transport; aircraft technology; air transport networks
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Aeronautics
HGF - Program Themes:Air Transportation and Impact
DLR - Research area:Aeronautics
DLR - Program:L AI - Air Transportation and Impact
DLR - Research theme (Project):L - Air Transport Operations and Impact Assessment
Location: Köln-Porz
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Air Transport and Airport Research > Air Transport Economics
Deposited By: Grimme, Wolfgang
Deposited On:04 Feb 2021 14:12
Last Modified:04 Feb 2021 14:12

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