Matthias, Volker and Bieser, Johannes and Mocanu, Tudor and Pregger, Thomas and Quante, Markus and Ramacher, Martin and Seum, Stefan and Winkler, Christian (2020) Modelling road transport emissions in Germany – Current day situation and scenarios for 2040. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 87 (102536). Elsevier. doi: 10.1016/j.trd.2020.102536. ISSN 1361-9209.
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Abstract
In the German project Traffic Development and the Environment an advanced model chain was built up that includes traffic models, fleet composition developments, new driving technologies, and emission factors in order to produce spatio-temporal emission distributions for use in at-mospheric chemistry transport models. This novel model chain was first used to calculate current day traffic emissions in Germany and then to develop consistent future scenarios for 2040. In all scenarios, NOx emissions from traffic decrease by approximately 80% while PM emissions show a lower reduction. The scenarios Free Play, which is based on a free market economics logic, and Regulated Shift, which considers stricter environmental regulations, represent large differences in traffic emissions. NOx emissions will be 32% lower and PM emissions 13% lower in the Regulated Shift scenario compared to the Free Play. The data can be combined with other anthropogenic emissions for investigating air quality with chemistry transport models.
Item URL in elib: | https://elib.dlr.de/139927/ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Document Type: | Article | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Title: | Modelling road transport emissions in Germany – Current day situation and scenarios for 2040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Authors: |
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Date: | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Journal or Publication Title: | Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Refereed publication: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Open Access: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gold Open Access: | No | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
In SCOPUS: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
In ISI Web of Science: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Volume: | 87 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DOI: | 10.1016/j.trd.2020.102536 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Publisher: | Elsevier | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ISSN: | 1361-9209 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Status: | Published | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Keywords: | Future scenarios, emission modeling, road transport, traffic modeling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
HGF - Research field: | Aeronautics, Space and Transport | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
HGF - Program: | Transport | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
HGF - Program Themes: | Transport System | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DLR - Research area: | Transport | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DLR - Program: | V VS - Verkehrssystem | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DLR - Research theme (Project): | V - Energie und Verkehr (old) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Location: | Berlin-Adlershof | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Institutes and Institutions: | Institute of Transport Research Institute of Engineering Thermodynamics > Energy Systems Analysis | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Deposited By: | Seum, Stefan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Deposited On: | 22 Dec 2020 12:41 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Last Modified: | 28 Mar 2023 23:58 |
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