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Emergent constraints on Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity in CMIP5: do they hold for CMIP6?

Schlund, Manuel and Lauer, Axel and Gentine, Pierre and Sherwood, Steven C. and Eyring, Veronika (2020) Emergent constraints on Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity in CMIP5: do they hold for CMIP6? Earth System Dynamics, 11 (4), pp. 1233-1258. Copernicus Publications. doi: 10.5194/esd-11-1233-2020. ISSN 2190-4979.

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Official URL: https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/11/1233/2020/

Abstract

As an important measure of climate change, the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) describes the change in surface temperature after a doubling of the atmospheric CO2 concentration. Climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) show a wide range in ECS. Emergent constraints are a technique to reduce uncertainties in ECS with observational data. Emergent constraints developed with data from CMIP phase 5 show reduced skill and higher ECS ranges when applied to CMIP6 data.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/139900/
Document Type:Article
Title:Emergent constraints on Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity in CMIP5: do they hold for CMIP6?
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iD
Schlund, ManuelDLR, IPAhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-5251-0158
Lauer, AxelDLR, IPAhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9270-1044
Gentine, PierreDepartment of Earth and Environmental Engineering, Columbia University, New York, USAhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0845-8345
Sherwood, Steven C.University of New South Wales, Sydney, AustraliaUNSPECIFIED
Eyring, VeronikaDLR, IPAhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6887-4885
Date:21 December 2020
Journal or Publication Title:Earth System Dynamics
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:Yes
In SCOPUS:Yes
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
Volume:11
DOI :10.5194/esd-11-1233-2020
Page Range:pp. 1233-1258
Publisher:Copernicus Publications
ISSN:2190-4979
Status:Published
Keywords:Earth System Models, Climate Sensitivity, Future Climate Projections, CMIP
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Space
HGF - Program Themes:Earth Observation
DLR - Research area:Raumfahrt
DLR - Program:R EO - Earth Observation
DLR - Research theme (Project):R - Atmospheric and climate research
Location: Oberpfaffenhofen
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Atmospheric Physics > Earth System Model Evaluation and Analysis
Deposited By: Schlund, Manuel
Deposited On:07 Jan 2021 12:39
Last Modified:07 Jan 2021 12:39

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