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Schlund, Manuel and Lauer, Axel and Gentine, Pierre and Sherwood, Steven C. and Eyring, Veronika (2020) Emergent constraints on Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity in CMIP5: do they hold for CMIP6? Earth System Dynamics, 11 (4), pp. 1233-1258. Copernicus Publications. doi: 10.5194/esd-11-1233-2020. ISSN 2190-4979.
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Official URL: https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/11/1233/2020/
Abstract
As an important measure of climate change, the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) describes the change in surface temperature after a doubling of the atmospheric CO2 concentration. Climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) show a wide range in ECS. Emergent constraints are a technique to reduce uncertainties in ECS with observational data. Emergent constraints developed with data from CMIP phase 5 show reduced skill and higher ECS ranges when applied to CMIP6 data.
| Item URL in elib: | https://elib.dlr.de/139900/ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Document Type: | Article | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Title: | Emergent constraints on Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity in CMIP5: do they hold for CMIP6? | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Authors: |
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| Date: | 21 December 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Earth System Dynamics | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Refereed publication: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Open Access: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gold Open Access: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| In SCOPUS: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| In ISI Web of Science: | Yes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Volume: | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DOI: | 10.5194/esd-11-1233-2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Page Range: | pp. 1233-1258 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Publisher: | Copernicus Publications | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ISSN: | 2190-4979 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Status: | Published | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Keywords: | Earth System Models, Climate Sensitivity, Future Climate Projections, CMIP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Research field: | Aeronautics, Space and Transport | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Program: | Space | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HGF - Program Themes: | Earth Observation | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Research area: | Raumfahrt | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Program: | R EO - Earth Observation | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DLR - Research theme (Project): | R - Atmospheric and climate research | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Location: | Oberpfaffenhofen | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Institutes and Institutions: | Institute of Atmospheric Physics > Earth System Model Evaluation and Analysis | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Deposited By: | Schlund, Manuel | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Deposited On: | 07 Jan 2021 12:39 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Modified: | 27 Oct 2023 15:17 |
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