Risikomanagement: Wildfeuer im Nordwesten Tunesiens Risk Management: Wildfires in the Northwest of Tunisia

Abstract

The issue of wildfi res is being considered with a focus on northwest of Tunisia in the context of an extensive literature research. Various statistics on the problem are analyzed and possible trends are identifi ed. On the basis of the knowledge gained, a risk analysis will be carried out, including vulnerability and hazard analysis. The vulnerability analysis is carried out using the Multi Criteria Evaluation (MCE) with Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The concept of fuzzy quantities is extended in order to cover the whole risk analysis. For the area of investigation, a spatial distribution of the risk caused by wild fires is calculated and the impact of diff erent membership functions on criteria (interpreted as fuzzy quantities) is presented.