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Impact of vehicle automation and electric propulsion on production costs for mobility services worldwide

Becker, Henrik and Becker, Felix and Abe, Ryosuke and Bekhor, Shlomo and Belgiawan, Prawira F. and Compostella, Junia and Frazzoli, Emilio and Fulton, Lewis M. and Bicudo, Davi Guggisberg and Gurumurthy, Krishna Murthy and Hensher, David A. and Joubert, Johan W. and Kockelman, Kara M. and Kröger, Lars and Le Vine, Scott and Malik, Jai and Marczuk, Katarzyna and Nasution, Reza Ashari and Rich, Jeppe and Carrone, Andrea Papu and Shen, Danqi and Shiftan, Yoram and Tirachini, Alejandro and Wong, Yale Z. and Zhang, Mengmeng and Bösch, Patrick M. and Axhausen, Kay W. (2020) Impact of vehicle automation and electric propulsion on production costs for mobility services worldwide. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 138, pp. 105-126. Elsevier. DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2020.04.021 ISSN 0965-8564

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Official URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0965856420305772

Abstract

Automated driving technology along with electric propulsion are widely expected to fundamentally change our transport systems. They may not only allow a more productive use of travel time, but will likely trigger completely new business models in the mobility market. A key determinant of the future prospects of both existing and new mobility services will be their production costs. Hence, in this research the production costs of various transport modes both today and in an automated-electric future are analyzed. To account for different local contexts, the study is conducted for 17 cities across the globe. The results indicate that high-income countries will benefit the most from vehicle automation, while only smaller changes can be expected in lower-income countries. This is due to the different relative contribution of labor cost to the total cost of current taxi and bus operations. In a likely final state, transportation costs will be largely decoupled from a countrys income level, which will favor productivity in higher-income locations. While this research provides valuable first insights into potential future developments, the underlying assumptions will need to be updated as better information becomes available.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/135405/
Document Type:Article
Title:Impact of vehicle automation and electric propulsion on production costs for mobility services worldwide
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iD
Becker, HenrikUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Becker, FelixUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Abe, RyosukeUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Bekhor, ShlomoUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Belgiawan, Prawira F.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Compostella, JuniaUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Frazzoli, EmilioUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Fulton, Lewis M.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Bicudo, Davi GuggisbergUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Gurumurthy, Krishna MurthyUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Hensher, David A.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Joubert, Johan W.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Kockelman, Kara M.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Kröger, LarsLars.Kroeger (at) dlr.dehttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-1807-924X
Le Vine, ScottUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Malik, JaiUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Marczuk, KatarzynaUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Nasution, Reza AshariUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Rich, JeppeUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Carrone, Andrea PapuUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Shen, DanqiUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Shiftan, YoramUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Tirachini, AlejandroUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Wong, Yale Z.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Zhang, MengmengUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Bösch, Patrick M.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Axhausen, Kay W.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Date:August 2020
Journal or Publication Title:Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:No
In SCOPUS:Yes
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
Volume:138
DOI :10.1016/j.tra.2020.04.021
Page Range:pp. 105-126
Publisher:Elsevier
ISSN:0965-8564
Status:Published
Keywords:Automated vehicles Driverless vehicles Taxi Cost structures International comparison Market segments
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Transport
HGF - Program Themes:Transport System
DLR - Research area:Transport
DLR - Program:V VS - Verkehrssystem
DLR - Research theme (Project):V - Zukunftsbilder eines automatisierten integrierten Verkehrssystems
Location: Berlin-Adlershof
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Transport Research
Institute of Transport Research > Passenger Transport
Deposited By: Kröger, Lars
Deposited On:26 Jun 2020 19:16
Last Modified:03 Jul 2020 09:10

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