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Impact of DNI Nowcasting on Annual Revenues of CSP plants for a time of delivery based feed in tariff

Dersch, Jürgen and Gairaa, Kacem and Hanrieder, Natalie and Landelius, Tomas and Lindskog, Magnus and Müller, Stefan and Ramirez, Lourdes and Schroedter-Homscheidt, Marion and Sirch, Tobias and Wilbert, Stefan (2019) Impact of DNI Nowcasting on Annual Revenues of CSP plants for a time of delivery based feed in tariff. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 28 (3), pp. 235-253. Borntraeger Science Publishers. doi: 10.1127/metz/2019/0925. ISSN 0941-2948.

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Official URL: https://www.schweizerbart.de/content/papers/download/90938


The impact of a combined nowcast for direct normal irradiation on revenues of two different concentrating solar power plant technologies under a time-of delivery-tariff is investigated. The nowcasts merge several satellite and NWP based nowcasts together with a smart persistence approach in order to generate a best-of nowcast for all now- and forecast time horizons up to 9 hours and in a 15 min temporal resolution. The applied tariff scheme is similar to that used in South Africa for some of the CSP plants erected in that country with considerably increased remuneration during the evening hours with maximum energy demand. The study investigates the impact both with respect to the annual energy yield and the economic annual revenues of CSP plants. The results for the combined nowcast are compared with results using ECMWF IFS based DNI forecasts which are commercially available for plant operators as well as with a persistence approach and the ideal forecast derived from ground-based observations.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/131170/
Document Type:Article
Title:Impact of DNI Nowcasting on Annual Revenues of CSP plants for a time of delivery based feed in tariff
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iD
Dersch, Jürgenjuergen.dersch (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Gairaa, Kacemgisol47 (at) gmail.comUNSPECIFIED
Hanrieder, Natalienatalie.hanrieder (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Landelius, TomasTomas.Landelius (at) smhi.seUNSPECIFIED
Lindskog, MagnusMagnus.Lindskog (at) smhi.seUNSPECIFIED
Müller, Stefanstefan.mueller (at) meteotest.chUNSPECIFIED
Schroedter-Homscheidt, Marionmarion.schroedter-homscheidt (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Wilbert, Stefanstefan.wilbert (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Date:9 October 2019
Journal or Publication Title:Meteorologische Zeitschrift
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:Yes
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
DOI :10.1127/metz/2019/0925
Page Range:pp. 235-253
Publisher:Borntraeger Science Publishers
Keywords:Concentrating solar power, direct normal irradiation, nowcasting, forecasting, operating scheme, revenues
HGF - Research field:Energy
HGF - Program:Renewable Energies
HGF - Program Themes:Concentrating Solar Thermal Technology
DLR - Research area:Energy
DLR - Program:E SW - Solar and Wind Energy
DLR - Research theme (Project):E - Impact of Desert Environment (old), E - Systems Analysis and Technology Assessment (old)
Location: Köln-Porz
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Solar Research > Line Focus Systems
Institute of Networked Energy Systems > Energy Systems Analysis
Institute of Atmospheric Physics > Cloud Physics
Deposited By: Dersch, Dr.-Ing. Jürgen
Deposited On:25 Nov 2019 08:56
Last Modified:20 Jun 2021 15:53

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