How dynamic are slums? EO-based assessment of Kibera’s morphologic transformation

Abstract

Urban morphologies change over time. The dynamics and nature of morphological changes in informal settlements or slums have largely not been scientifically investigated. Consequently, it is necessary to fill the gap of the international demand for timeline analysis. In this work, earth observation (EO) is used to discover morphologic changes within eight years (2006-2014) in Nairobi's major slum Kibera. Research mostly handles automated detection but in this study the classical visual image interpretation is applied on a very high level of detail capturing buildings in three dimensions. Consistencies and deviations in time are measured according to morphological variables. We find dynamics in the slum area high in terms of a 77% rise in number of buildings due to arising, splitting, upgrading or demolishing; at the same time, density increases only by 10%. Overall, the general pattern of complex, organic structure remains mostly unchanged.