Junne, Tobias und Xiao, Mengzhu und Xu, Lei und Wang, Zongfei und Jochem, Patrick und Pregger, Thomas (2019) How to assess the quality and transparency of energy scenarios: Results of a case study. Energy Strategy Reviews, 100380. Elsevier. doi: 10.1016/j.esr.2019.100380. ISSN 2211-467X.
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Offizielle URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X19300732
Kurzfassung
The exploration and evaluation of strategies for decarbonizing the energy system is the subject of a series of national and international studies conducted by governmental, industrial and independent stakeholders. These studies play an important role in the energy policy debate on understanding and assessing different transformation paths of the energy system, technology options and their implications. They support strategic decisions on the type and scale of investments in the energy system under uncertain future conditions. However, in recent years the increasing complexity of these studies lead to a decreasing transparency even though their transparency and traceability is important for society, politics, research, and industry. In this article, three energy scenarios at different regional scales are reviewed according to their compliance with our pre-defined criteria of transparency. They are analysed in detail with regard to their objectives, methods, data used, results obtained and traceability. Our comparison shows that the results are often presented sufficiently in order to inform decision makers. However, the underlying model-based methods lack information on data exchange between the models, the transparent description of model couplings and a discussion on the rationality of method selection and the strengths and weaknesses of the applied approaches. Based on our findings, we present some general advice for energy scenario developers on how to ensure transparency and traceability in future energy scenario studies.
elib-URL des Eintrags: | https://elib.dlr.de/129129/ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Dokumentart: | Zeitschriftenbeitrag | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Titel: | How to assess the quality and transparency of energy scenarios: Results of a case study | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Autoren: |
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Datum: | 2 September 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Erschienen in: | Energy Strategy Reviews | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Referierte Publikation: | Ja | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Open Access: | Ja | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gold Open Access: | Ja | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
In SCOPUS: | Ja | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
In ISI Web of Science: | Ja | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Band: | 100380 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DOI: | 10.1016/j.esr.2019.100380 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Verlag: | Elsevier | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ISSN: | 2211-467X | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Status: | veröffentlicht | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Stichwörter: | Energy scenario, Transparency, Reproducibility, Modelling approach, Impact | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
HGF - Forschungsbereich: | Energie | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
HGF - Programm: | TIG Technologie, Innovation und Gesellschaft | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
HGF - Programmthema: | Erneuerbare Energie- und Materialressourcen für eine nachhaltige Zukunft | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DLR - Schwerpunkt: | Energie | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DLR - Forschungsgebiet: | E SY - Energiesystemanalyse | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DLR - Teilgebiet (Projekt, Vorhaben): | E - Systemanalyse und Technikbewertung (alt) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Standort: | Stuttgart | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Institute & Einrichtungen: | Institut für Technische Thermodynamik > Energiesystemanalyse | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hinterlegt von: | Junne, Tobias | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hinterlegt am: | 16 Dez 2019 15:35 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Letzte Änderung: | 31 Okt 2023 13:56 |
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