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Future framework conditions for integrated transport systems: Understanding embedded transport system’s evolution

Müller, Stephan (2018) Future framework conditions for integrated transport systems: Understanding embedded transport system’s evolution. Global debate on mobility challenges for future society, 15-16 Nov 2018, Warsaw, Poland.

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Abstract

Economic and social developments are constantly in flux. In the past 200 years, always whenever physical transport systems were limiting economic and social development, a totally new transport mode emerged that offered new functionalities in accordance to the socio-economic paradigm’s requirements. It offered huge efficiency improvements to its users. New transport systems always implied new socio-economic paradigms - they changed markets, socio-economic skills, behavior, rules, institutions, norms, etc. In consequence, new transport modes constituted the basis of so-called Kondratieff cycles. In order to provide orientation for transport and economic policy maker in regard to future developments in transport technology, this article analyzes the socio-economic paradigm nowadays from an evolutionary economic point of view with the Concept of Transport System’s evolution (CTSE). The analysis reveals that the currently active Kondratieff cycle (called “Digitization”) will result in new requirements on the transport system in the near future, namely on-demand, time-space instant and eco transportation. Based on this we discuss three possible future pathways for transportation in the next decades: Evolution, transition and revolution.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/123290/
Document Type:Conference or Workshop Item (Speech)
Title:Future framework conditions for integrated transport systems: Understanding embedded transport system’s evolution
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthors ORCID iD
Müller, StephanStephan.Mueller (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Date:15 November 2018
Refereed publication:No
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:No
In SCOPUS:No
In ISI Web of Science:No
Status:Published
Keywords:Evolutionary economics, Evolution of transport systems, transportation future
Event Title:Global debate on mobility challenges for future society
Event Location:Warsaw, Poland
Event Type:international Conference
Event Dates:15-16 Nov 2018
Organizer:UIC
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Transport
HGF - Program Themes:Transport System
DLR - Research area:Transport
DLR - Program:V VS - Verkehrssystem
DLR - Research theme (Project):V - Zukunftsbilder eines automatisierten integrierten Verkehrssystems
Location: Berlin-Adlershof
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Transport Research > Commercial Transport
Deposited By: Müller, Stephan
Deposited On:19 Nov 2018 08:24
Last Modified:31 Jul 2019 20:21

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