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Macro-economic development and transportation: Dynamisms of today towards 2050

Müller, Stephan and Liedtke, Gernot (2018) Macro-economic development and transportation: Dynamisms of today towards 2050. International Conference on Economics, 01.-03. Nov. 2018, Antalya, Turkey.

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Economic and social developments are constantly in flux. In the past 200 years, always whenever physical transport systems were limiting economic and social development, a totally new transport mode emerged that offered new functionalities in accordance to the socio-economic paradigm’s requirements. It offered huge efficiency improvements to its users. New transport systems always implied new socio-economic paradigms - they changed markets, socio-economic skills, behavior, rules, institutions, norms, etc. In consequence, new transport modes constituted the basis of so-called Kondratieff waves. In order to provide orientation for transport and economic policy maker in regard to future developments in transport technology, , this article analyzes the socio-economic paradigm nowadays from an evolutionary economic point of view with the Concept of Transport System’s evolution (CTSE). The analysis reveals that the currently active Kondratieff wave (called “Digitization”) will result in new requirements on the transport system in the near future, namely on-demand, time-space instant and eco transportation. Based on this we discuss three possible future pathways for transportation in the next decades: Evolution, transition and revolution.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/122743/
Document Type:Conference or Workshop Item (Speech, Keynote)
Title:Macro-economic development and transportation: Dynamisms of today towards 2050
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iD
Refereed publication:No
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:No
In ISI Web of Science:No
Keywords:Evolutionary economics, Evolution of transport systems, transportation future
Event Title:International Conference on Economics
Event Location:Antalya, Turkey
Event Type:international Conference
Event Dates:01.-03. Nov. 2018
Organizer:Turkish Economic Association (TEA)
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Transport
HGF - Program Themes:Transport System
DLR - Research area:Transport
DLR - Program:V VS - Verkehrssystem
DLR - Research theme (Project):V - Zukunftsbilder eines automatisierten integrierten Verkehrssystems
Location: Berlin-Adlershof
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Transport Research > Commercial Transport
Deposited By: Müller, Dr.-Ing. Stephan
Deposited On:15 Nov 2018 12:54
Last Modified:31 Jul 2019 20:20

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