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Körner, Stephan and Ahmad, Nash'at and Holzäpfel, Frank and VanValkenburg, Randal (2017) Multimodel Ensemble Methods for Prediction of Wake-Vortex Transport and Decay. Journal of Aircraft, 54 (5), pp. 1849-1859. American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA). doi: 10.2514/1.C034287. ISSN 0021-8669.
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Official URL: http://arc.aiaa.org/doi/abs/10.2514/1.C034287
Abstract
Several multimodel ensemble methods are selected and further developed to improve the deterministic and probabilistic prediction skills of individual wake-vortex transport and decay models. The different multimodel ensemble methods are introduced, and their suitability for wake applications is demonstrated. The selected methods include direct ensemble averaging, Bayesian model averaging, and Monte Carlo simulation. The different methodologies are evaluated employing data from wake-vortex field measurement campaigns conducted in the United States and Germany.
| Item URL in elib: | https://elib.dlr.de/112380/ | |||||||||||||||
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| Document Type: | Article | |||||||||||||||
| Title: | Multimodel Ensemble Methods for Prediction of Wake-Vortex Transport and Decay | |||||||||||||||
| Authors: |
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| Date: | 2017 | |||||||||||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Journal of Aircraft | |||||||||||||||
| Refereed publication: | Yes | |||||||||||||||
| Open Access: | Yes | |||||||||||||||
| Gold Open Access: | No | |||||||||||||||
| In SCOPUS: | Yes | |||||||||||||||
| In ISI Web of Science: | Yes | |||||||||||||||
| Volume: | 54 | |||||||||||||||
| DOI: | 10.2514/1.C034287 | |||||||||||||||
| Page Range: | pp. 1849-1859 | |||||||||||||||
| Publisher: | American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA) | |||||||||||||||
| ISSN: | 0021-8669 | |||||||||||||||
| Status: | Published | |||||||||||||||
| Keywords: | Wake-vortex prediction, Multimodel ensemble, Bayesian model averaging, Monte Carlo simulation | |||||||||||||||
| HGF - Research field: | Aeronautics, Space and Transport | |||||||||||||||
| HGF - Program: | Aeronautics | |||||||||||||||
| HGF - Program Themes: | fixed-wing aircraft | |||||||||||||||
| DLR - Research area: | Aeronautics | |||||||||||||||
| DLR - Program: | L AR - Aircraft Research | |||||||||||||||
| DLR - Research theme (Project): | L - Simulation and Validation (old), L - Air Traffic Concepts and Operation (old) | |||||||||||||||
| Location: | Oberpfaffenhofen | |||||||||||||||
| Institutes and Institutions: | Institute of Atmospheric Physics > Transport Meteorology | |||||||||||||||
| Deposited By: | Körner, Stephan | |||||||||||||||
| Deposited On: | 16 May 2017 09:29 | |||||||||||||||
| Last Modified: | 26 May 2020 22:21 |
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