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Multimodel Ensemble Methods for Prediction of Wake-Vortex Transport and Decay

Körner, Stephan and Ahmad, Nash'at and Holzäpfel, Frank and VanValkenburg, Randal (2017) Multimodel Ensemble Methods for Prediction of Wake-Vortex Transport and Decay. Journal of Aircraft, pp. 1-11. American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA). DOI: 10.2514/1.C034287 ISSN 0021-8669

Full text not available from this repository.

Official URL: http://arc.aiaa.org/doi/abs/10.2514/1.C034287

Abstract

Several multimodel ensemble methods are selected and further developed to improve the deterministic and probabilistic prediction skills of individual wake-vortex transport and decay models. The different multimodel ensemble methods are introduced, and their suitability for wake applications is demonstrated. The selected methods include direct ensemble averaging, Bayesian model averaging, and Monte Carlo simulation. The different methodologies are evaluated employing data from wake-vortex field measurement campaigns conducted in the United States and Germany.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/112380/
Document Type:Article
Title:Multimodel Ensemble Methods for Prediction of Wake-Vortex Transport and Decay
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthors ORCID iD
Körner, StephanDLR, IPAUNSPECIFIED
Ahmad, Nash'atNASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VirginiaUNSPECIFIED
Holzäpfel, FrankDLR, IPAhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3182-1832
VanValkenburg, RandalNASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VirginiaUNSPECIFIED
Date:2017
Journal or Publication Title:Journal of Aircraft
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:No
In SCOPUS:Yes
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
DOI :10.2514/1.C034287
Page Range:pp. 1-11
Publisher:American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA)
ISSN:0021-8669
Status:Published
Keywords:Wake-vortex prediction, Multimodel ensemble, Bayesian model averaging, Monte Carlo simulation
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Aeronautics
HGF - Program Themes:fixed-wing aircraft
DLR - Research area:Aeronautics
DLR - Program:L AR - Aircraft Research
DLR - Research theme (Project):L - Simulation and Validation, L - Air Traffic Concepts and Operation
Location: Oberpfaffenhofen
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Atmospheric Physics > Transport Meteorology
Deposited By: Körner, Stephan
Deposited On:16 May 2017 09:29
Last Modified:29 Apr 2019 12:04

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