DLR-Logo -> http://www.dlr.de
DLR Portal Home | Imprint | Privacy Policy | Contact | Deutsch
Fontsize: [-] Text [+]

Raising awareness in model-based energy scenario studies—a transparency checklist

Cao, Karl-Kiên and Cebulla, Felix and Gómez Vilchez, Jonatan J. and Mousavi, Babak and Prehofer, Sigrid (2016) Raising awareness in model-based energy scenario studies—a transparency checklist. Energy, Sustainability and Society, 6 (28). Springer. doi: 10.1186/s13705-016-0090-z. ISSN 2192-0567.

[img] PDF

Official URL: https://energsustainsoc.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s13705-016-0090-z


Background The focus of the paper is on scenario studies that examine energy systems. This type of studies is usually based on formal energy models, from which energy policy recommendations are derived. In order to be valuable for strategic decision-making, the comprehensibility of these complex scenario studies is necessary. We aim at highlighting and mitigating the problematic issue of lacking transparency in such model-based scenario studies. Methods In the first part of the paper, the important concept of transparency in the context of energy scenarios is introduced. In the second part, we develop transparency criteria based on expert judgement. The set of selected criteria is structured into ‘General Information’, ‘Empirical Data’, ‘Assumptions’, ‘Modeling’, ‘Results’, and ‘Conclusions and Recommendations’. Based on these criteria, a transparency checklist is generated. Results The proposed transparency checklist is not intended to measure the quality of energy scenario studies, but to deliver a tool which enables authors of energy scenario studies to increase the level of transparency of their work. The checklist thus serves as a standardized communication protocol and offers guidance for interpreting these studies. A reduced and a full version of the checklist are provided. The former simply lists the transparency criteria and can be adopted by authors with ease; the latter provides details on each criterion. We also illustrate how the transparency checklist may be applied by means of examples. Conclusions We argue that transparency is a necessary condition for a reproducible and credible scenario study. Many energy scenario studies are at present characterized by an insufficient level of transparency. In essence, the checklist represents a synthesizing tool for improving their transparency. The target group of this work is experts, in their role of authors and/or readers of energy scenario studies. By applying the transparency checklist, the authors of energy scenario studies signal their commitment to a high degree of transparency, in consonance with scientific standards.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/106327/
Document Type:Article
Title:Raising awareness in model-based energy scenario studies—a transparency checklist
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthor's ORCID iD
Cao, Karl-Kiênkarl-kien.cao (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Cebulla, Felixfelix.cebulla (at) dlr.deUNSPECIFIED
Gómez Vilchez, Jonatan J.jonathan.gomez (at) kit.eduUNSPECIFIED
Mousavi, Babakbabak.mousavi (at) ier.uni-stuttgart.deUNSPECIFIED
Prehofer, Sigridsigrid.prehofer (at) zirius.uni-stuttgart.deUNSPECIFIED
Date:28 September 2016
Journal or Publication Title:Energy, Sustainability and Society
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:Yes
Gold Open Access:Yes
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
EditorsEmailEditor's ORCID iD
Narodoslawsky, MichaelTechnische Universität GrazUNSPECIFIED
Keywords:Scenario analysis, Energy modelin,g Transparency, Open access
HGF - Research field:Energy
HGF - Program:Technology, Innovation and Society
HGF - Program Themes:Renewable Energy and Material Resources for Sustainable Futures - Integrating at Different Scales
DLR - Research area:Energy
DLR - Program:E MS - Systems analysis
DLR - Research theme (Project):E - Systems Analysis and Technology Assessment (old)
Location: Stuttgart
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Engineering Thermodynamics > Systems Analysis and Technology Assessment
Deposited By: Cao, Dr.-Ing. Karl-Kien
Deposited On:04 Oct 2016 11:09
Last Modified:08 Mar 2018 18:36

Repository Staff Only: item control page

Help & Contact
electronic library is running on EPrints 3.3.12
Website and database design: Copyright © German Aerospace Center (DLR). All rights reserved.