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COPE-SMARTER – A decision support system for analysing the challenges, opportunities and policy initiatives: A case study of electric commercial vehicles market diffusion in Denmark

Barford, Dr. Michael B. and Kaplan, Dr. Sigal and Frenzel, Ina and Klauenberg, Dr. Jens (2016) COPE-SMARTER – A decision support system for analysing the challenges, opportunities and policy initiatives: A case study of electric commercial vehicles market diffusion in Denmark. Research in Transportation Economics (55), pp. 3-11. Elsevier. DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2016.04.005 ISSN 0739-8859

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Official URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0739885916300361

Abstract

Stakeholder's strategies in encouraging wide-scale market penetration depend on their perceptions. This study focuses on perceptions of Danish practitioners in policy-making organizations regarding the perceived challenges, opportunities and policy initiatives for the majority-market adoption of electric commercial vehicles (ECVs) in commercial sector in Denmark. We propose a new four-step expert-based technique, named COPE-SMARTER, for evaluating the market diffusion of environmental friendly technologies by combining SWOT analysis and multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques. We focus on the perceptions regarding: (i) the potential promotional strength of motivators for ECV market penetration, (ii) the severity of the technological, financial, physical and operational challenges, (iii) the efficiency of policy initiatives in encouraging the market diffusion of ECVs, (iv) the expected market penetration rates for ECVs by target year. The results show the strength of the COPE-SMARTER approach in generating a clear, coherent, and tractable evaluation. Severe challenges are financial, operational and technological, with high purchase prices being by far the most severe. The opportunities are financial and environmental, with overall savings in the long-term as the opportunity with the highest promotional strength. Effective policy initiatives are low registration fee for ECVs, state subsidies for the purchase or use of ECVs, and emission-based taxes.

Item URL in elib:https://elib.dlr.de/104731/
Document Type:Article
Title:COPE-SMARTER – A decision support system for analysing the challenges, opportunities and policy initiatives: A case study of electric commercial vehicles market diffusion in Denmark
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of AuthorsAuthors ORCID iD
Barford, Dr. Michael B.Technical University of Denmark, Department of Transport, DenmarkUNSPECIFIED
Kaplan, Dr. SigalTechnical University of Denmark, Department of Transport, Denmark; Faculty of Traffic Sciences, TU Dresden, 01062 Dresden, GermanyUNSPECIFIED
Frenzel, InaGerman Aerospace Center (DLR), Institute of Transport Research, GermanyUNSPECIFIED
Klauenberg, Dr. JensGerman Aerospace Center (DLR), Institute of Transport Research, GermanyUNSPECIFIED
Date:10 June 2016
Journal or Publication Title:Research in Transportation Economics
Refereed publication:Yes
Open Access:No
Gold Open Access:No
In SCOPUS:Yes
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
DOI :10.1016/j.retrec.2016.04.005
Page Range:pp. 3-11
Publisher:Elsevier
ISSN:0739-8859
Status:Published
Keywords:Decision support systems; Commercial vehicles; Electric vehicles; Decision makers; Focus group; MCDA; SWOT
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Transport
HGF - Program Themes:Transport System
DLR - Research area:Transport
DLR - Program:V VS - Verkehrssystem
DLR - Research theme (Project):V - Verkehrsentwicklung und Umwelt II (old)
Location: Berlin-Adlershof
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Transport Research
Deposited By: Frenzel, Ina
Deposited On:15 Jul 2016 18:24
Last Modified:30 May 2019 22:07

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