Demand Analysis for alternative fuels in the maritime sector

Kurzfassung

The maritime sector handles 80 % of international freight transport, forming a key backbone of the world economy. This sector accounts for approximately three percent of the global greenhouse gas emissions. To reduce the toll of this sector on the climate and the environment, the international maritime organisation (IMO) has decided to reduce its emissions by 50 % in 2050 compared to 2008. This target is not achievable by increasing efficiency on the basis of conventional fuels. As the strict rules of IMO for emission reduction come into force, demand for new technologies and alternative fuels will increase. There are currently various fuel options as potential future energy sources such as methanol, ammonia and hydrogen. In order to better plan port infrastructure and fuel storage, the demand for these alternative fuels needs to be assessed. The aim of this thesis is to develop demand scenarios for different types of alternative fuels. To this end the properties of the different types of fuel are first examined. This is followed by a comprehensive literature review. Different case scenarios for the future demand for waterborne transport and the fuel market are developed. On this basis, the demand for alternative marine fuels is assessed.