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Road transportation in China: How big are fuel consumption and pollutant emissions really?

Borken, Jens and Bei, Xiaoxu and Jiang, Yulin and Meretei, Tamas (2008) Road transportation in China: How big are fuel consumption and pollutant emissions really? TRB 2008 (87. Annual Meeting), 2008-01-13 - 2008-01-17, Washington, DC (USA).

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Abstract

There is conflicting information about road transport’s fuel consumption in China. Clear is only, that it is high and strongly growing. Our new estimate of about 76-87 Mtoe petroleum fuel consumption in the year 2000 is the highest so far published. We furthermore calculate exhaust emissions from on-road vehicles and identify the most important vehicle categories. Up to the year 2030 a strong growth in transportation is expected with the booming economy and rising income levels. According to our new calculation this may lead to about a factor 7 growth in fuel demand by passenger cars until 2030, even with significant improvements of their fuel economy. However, the expansion of the commercial vehicles and their technical level will determine the overall growth in fuel demand. In the absence of significant efficiency improvements the overall transport fuel demand can increase until 2030 to about 400 to 450 Mtoe.

Document Type:Conference or Workshop Item (Speech, Paper)
Title:Road transportation in China: How big are fuel consumption and pollutant emissions really?
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of Authors
Borken, JensUNSPECIFIED
Bei, XiaoxuUNSPECIFIED
Jiang, YulinCATS Peking
Meretei, TamasKTI Budapest
Date:16 January 2008
Refereed publication:Yes
In ISI Web of Science:No
Status:Published
Keywords:China, road, transportation, fuel, oil, emission, climate, future, scenario
Event Title:TRB 2008 (87. Annual Meeting)
Event Location:Washington, DC (USA)
Event Type:international Conference
Event Dates:2008-01-13 - 2008-01-17
Organizer:Transportation Research Board of National Academies
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport (old)
HGF - Program:Transport
HGF - Program Themes:Transport System
DLR - Research area:Transport
DLR - Program:V VS - Verkehrssystem
DLR - Research theme (Project):V - Next Generation Train (old)
Location: Berlin-Adlershof
Institutes and Institutions:Verkehrsstudien
Deposited By: Annette Christine Klingelhöfer
Deposited On:24 Nov 2008
Last Modified:27 Apr 2009 14:47

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