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Impacts on the National Energy System

Pregger, Thomas and Nitsch, Joachim and Krewitt, Wolfram (2011) Impacts on the National Energy System. In: Demography and Infrastructure: National and Regional Aspects of Demographic Change Environment & Policy, 51. Springer Science+Business Media B.V.. pp. 131-146. ISBN 9789400704572. ISSN 1383-5130

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Official URL: http://www.springer.com/978-94-007-0457-2


A scenario analysis helps to determine the impact of an ageing and shrinking population on the energy sector in the context of pathways to sustainability. The scenario analysis in InfraDem follows the German “Lead Scenario” for the implementation of official targets for renewable energies and efficiency measures. This scenario points out an ambitious but realistic development towards a far more sustainable energy supply system by 2030 with long-term perspectives for a low-carbon energy system by 2050. The analysis takes into account the InfraDem population, GDP and household projections. The results show that demographic change will have a rather small impact on the national energy system compared to expected changes caused by political targets and strategies and the implementation of new energy technologies. The difference between the InfraDem high and low variant is between 3 and 4% for energy consumption and emissions. Although total population will decrease significantly until 2030, demographic change will tend to increase the residential power and heat demand due to an increasing floor space per capita and total household number as well as the higher specific energy demand of older people.

Document Type:Book Section
Title:Impacts on the National Energy System
AuthorsInstitution or Email of Authors
Pregger, ThomasUNSPECIFIED
Nitsch, JoachimUNSPECIFIED
Krewitt, WolframUNSPECIFIED
Date:March 2011
Journal or Publication Title:Demography and Infrastructure: National and Regional Aspects of Demographic Change
Refereed publication:No
In ISI Web of Science:No
Page Range:pp. 131-146
Kronenberg, TobiasFZJ-IEF
Kuckshinrichs, WilhelmFZJ-IEF
Publisher:Springer Science+Business Media B.V.
Series Name:Environment & Policy
Keywords:Demographischer Wandel, Energieverbrauch, Emission
HGF - Research field:Energy
HGF - Program:Renewable Energies
HGF - Program Themes:E MS - Systems analysis (old)
DLR - Research area:Energy
DLR - Program:E MS - Systems analysis
DLR - Research theme (Project):E - Systemanalyse und Technikbewertung (old)
Location: Stuttgart
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Technical Thermodynamics > System Analysis and Technology Assessment
Deposited By: Dr.-Ing. Thomas Pregger
Deposited On:09 Mar 2011 11:13
Last Modified:09 Mar 2011 11:13

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