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Policy driven demand for sales of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles and battery-electric vehicles in Germany

Trommer, Stefan und Kihm, Alexander und Hebes, Paul und Mehlin, Markus (2010) Policy driven demand for sales of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles and battery-electric vehicles in Germany. European Transport Conference, 11.-13. Okt. 2010, Glasgow, Großbritannien.

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Kurzfassung

While technology issues are increasingly overcoming, the economic viability of electric vehicles is remaining constrained by higher prices than for conventional vehicles. However, first automakers present their Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) and Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEV) or at least pronounce them for the near future. Hence, there is an emerging need for vehicle manufacturers, practitioners and policy to estimate the particular demand for partly and fully electrified drive trains under the current and probable future economic and regulatory conditions. In our paper we analyze the possible German car market’s development towards electric mobility for the two key technologies, PHEV and BEV. A multi-step methodology using technical, social and economic constraints on the current vehicle registrations and inventory is developed to derive demand for electric vehicles between 2015 and 2030. A scenario approach is used to demonstrate the impact of several policy approaches on demand for cars with electric drive trains in Germany. The results can provide valuable insights for policy design as well as for transport and environmental modelling at the same time.

Dokumentart:Konferenzbeitrag (Vortrag, Paper)
Titel:Policy driven demand for sales of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles and battery-electric vehicles in Germany
Autoren:
AutorenInstitution oder E-Mail-Adresse der Autoren
Trommer, Stefanstefan.trommer@dlr.de
Kihm, Alexanderalexander.kihm@dlr.de
Hebes, Paulpaul.hebes@dlr.de
Mehlin, Markusmarkus.mehlin@dlr.de
Datum:Oktober 2010
Referierte Publikation:Ja
In ISI Web of Science:Nein
Status:veröffentlicht
Stichwörter:Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles, Battery Electric Vehicles, Elekromobilität,
Veranstaltungstitel:European Transport Conference
Veranstaltungsort:Glasgow, Großbritannien
Veranstaltungsart:internationale Konferenz
Veranstaltungsdatum:11.-13. Okt. 2010
Veranstalter :Association for European Transport
HGF - Forschungsbereich:Luftfahrt, Raumfahrt und Verkehr
HGF - Programm:Verkehr
HGF - Programmthema:Verkehrssystem
DLR - Schwerpunkt:Verkehr
DLR - Forschungsgebiet:V VS - Verkehrssystem
DLR - Teilgebiet (Projekt, Vorhaben):V - VEU (alt)
Standort: Berlin-Adlershof
Institute & Einrichtungen:Institut für Verkehrsforschung > Personenverkehr
Hinterlegt von: Stefan Trommer
Hinterlegt am:05 Jan 2011 15:11
Letzte Änderung:21 Sep 2012 11:55

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