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Temporal and Spatial Modeling of Tropical Deforestation. A Survival Analysis Linking Satellite and Household Survey Data

Vance, Colin and Geoghegan, Jacqueline (2002) Temporal and Spatial Modeling of Tropical Deforestation. A Survival Analysis Linking Satellite and Household Survey Data. Agricultural Economics, Elsevier, 27, pp. 317-332.

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Abstract

We estimate a spatially explicit model of the forest clearance process among smallholder farmers in an agricultural frontier of southern Mexico. Our analysis takes as its point of departure a simple utility-maximising model that suggests many possible determinants of deforestation in an economic evironment characterised by missing or thin markets Hypotheses from the model are tested on a data set that combines a time series of satellite imagery with data collected from a survey of farm households whose agricultural plots were georeferenced using a global postioning system (GPS). We implement a survival analysis to identify the effect of household explanatory variables on the probability of deforestation. This approach allows us to intorduce a measure of the time until clearance as a covariate, thereby afording a control for the effect of potentially important explanatory virables that vary through time but are not directly observable.

Document Type:Article
Additional Information: LIDO-Berichtsjahr=2004,
Title:Temporal and Spatial Modeling of Tropical Deforestation. A Survival Analysis Linking Satellite and Household Survey Data
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of Authors
Vance, ColinUNSPECIFIED
Geoghegan, JacquelineClark University
Date:2002
Journal or Publication Title:Agricultural Economics, Elsevier
Refereed publication:No
In SCOPUS:No
In ISI Web of Science:No
Volume:27
Page Range:pp. 317-332
Status:Published
Keywords:deforestation, survival analysis, agricultural households
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport (old)
HGF - Program:Transport
HGF - Program Themes:other
DLR - Research area:Transport
DLR - Program:V VR - Verkehrsforschung
DLR - Research theme (Project):UNSPECIFIED
Location: Berlin-Adlershof
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Transport Research
Deposited By: Andrea Dumong
Deposited On:06 Jan 2006
Last Modified:06 Jan 2010 20:36

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