Temporal and Spatial Modeling of Tropical Deforestation. A Survival Analysis Linking Satellite and Household Survey Data
Vance, Colin and Geoghegan, Jacqueline (2002) Temporal and Spatial Modeling of Tropical Deforestation. A Survival Analysis Linking Satellite and Household Survey Data. Agricultural Economics, Elsevier, 27, pp. 317-332.
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We estimate a spatially explicit model of the forest clearance process among smallholder farmers in an agricultural frontier of southern Mexico. Our analysis takes as its point of departure a simple utility-maximising model that suggests many possible determinants of deforestation in an economic evironment characterised by missing or thin markets Hypotheses from the model are tested on a data set that combines a time series of satellite imagery with data collected from a survey of farm households whose agricultural plots were georeferenced using a global postioning system (GPS). We implement a survival analysis to identify the effect of household explanatory variables on the probability of deforestation. This approach allows us to intorduce a measure of the time until clearance as a covariate, thereby afording a control for the effect of potentially important explanatory virables that vary through time but are not directly observable.
|Title:||Temporal and Spatial Modeling of Tropical Deforestation. A Survival Analysis Linking Satellite and Household Survey Data|
|Journal or Publication Title:||Agricultural Economics, Elsevier|
|In ISI Web of Science:||No|
|Page Range:||pp. 317-332|
|Keywords:||deforestation, survival analysis, agricultural households|
|HGF - Research field:||Aeronautics, Space and Transport|
|HGF - Program:||Transport|
|HGF - Program Themes:||V - no assignement|
|DLR - Research area:||Transport|
|DLR - Program:||V VR - Verkehrsforschung|
|DLR - Research theme (Project):||UNSPECIFIED|
|Institutes and Institutions:||Institute of Transport Research|
|Deposited By:||Andrea Dumong|
|Deposited On:||06 Jan 2006|
|Last Modified:||06 Jan 2010 20:36|
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